TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Krupnik vs Radovan Solle 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117118911811118
Radovan Solle
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 56.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 2–2 Radovan Solle Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1641 vs Solle 1468
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Solle 40%
Krupnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 60% vs Solle 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik -2 · Solle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.57 / Solle 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13180371
Krupnik1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 133 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it73% 92 of 126
Solle2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 9 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKrupnik2wins
AwaySolle2wins
4 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySolle66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik1Solle3n = 4Solle took 3 of 4
S2Krupnik4Solle0n = 4Krupnik took 4 of 4
S3Krupnik1Solle3n = 4Solle took 3 of 4
S4Krupnik2Solle2n = 4split evenly
S5Krupnik2Solle2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKrupnikSolleK − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match49.047.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 907 vs 22 / 5251.6%42.3%468 / 907 vs 22 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.57/Solle 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 23 · 06:40J. Krupnik50111198113R. Solle4578111182
WJan 22 · 17:40J. Krupnik51811119123R. Solle47117811102
LJan 22 · 15:10J. Krupnik50913711102R. Solle501111115123
LDec 18 · 10:40J. Krupnik4591191152R. Solle46117116113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 23 · 07:40J. Krupnik1.8391111113R. Benes1.83118771LSep 23 · 05:40J. Krupnik1.57111181192E. Precek2.25961113113LSep 21 · 17:08J. Krupnik1.83351181B. Mrowetz1.8311118113WSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113WSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192WSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113
R. Solle10
LSep 23 · 06:10R. Benes1.6111119113R. Solle2.20861161WSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 15:40L. Lasota1.7391111113R. Solle2.00116851LSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 10 · 13:15T. Kindl1.44113119173R. Solle2.63411611152LSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133WSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113
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