TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Benes vs Radovan Solle 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Radek Benes
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116911116––
Radovan Solle
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeRadovan Solle to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Radovan Solle at 57.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 2–0 Radovan Solle Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Benes 1562 vs Solle 1468
Benes
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benes 20% vs Solle 40%
Solle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benes 40% vs Solle 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Benes -4 · Solle +1
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.61 / Solle 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Benes)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13180372
Benes1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 172 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it77% 117 of 153
Solle2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 9 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBenes2wins
AwaySolle0wins
Benes leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBenesSolleB − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.028.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime507 / 979 vs 22 / 5251.8%42.3%507 / 979 vs 22 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.61/Solle 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 06:10R. Benes4211119113R. Solle31861161
WJan 14 · 12:10R. Benes341111123R. Solle2587100
R. Benes10
LSep 23 · 07:40J. Krupnik1.8391111113R. Benes1.83118771WSep 23 · 07:10E. Precek2.2041111952R. Benes1.61114811113LSep 22 · 08:53M. Moravec2.001111113R. Benes1.732460LSep 22 · 07:45T. Krenek1.731110911113R. Benes2.0091211892LSep 22 · 07:15T. Kindl1.91111189113R. Benes1.8059111192LSep 22 · 06:15R. Benes1.9111691192M. Moravec1.80711116113WSep 21 · 13:19T. Krenek1.8387100R. Benes1.831111123LSep 21 · 11:45T. Krenek1.831213113R. Benes1.83101160WSep 21 · 11:15T. Kindl1.9181141192R. Benes1.80119118113WSep 21 · 10:15R. Benes2.009101111123M. Moravec1.73111296102
R. Solle10
LSep 23 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.57111198113R. Solle2.2578111182WSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 15:40L. Lasota1.7391111113R. Solle2.00116851LSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 10 · 13:15T. Kindl1.44113119173R. Solle2.63411611152LSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133WSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113
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