TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Moravec vs Radek Benes 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112114116––––
Radek Benes
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
112114116––––
H2H Michal Moravec 28–25 Radek Benes Radek Benes has won 25 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Moravec beat Benes 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.00 / Benes 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13176659
Moravec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 40 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Benes1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 172 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it76% 117 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec5wins
AwayBenes5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec50%3 of 6
AwayBenes50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec6Benes4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Moravec6Benes4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S3Moravec4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Moravec2Benes5n = 7Benes took 5 of 7
S5Moravec3Benes3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecBenesM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.143.9−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 390 vs 505 / 97650.3%51.7%196 / 390 vs 505 / 976Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesMoravec 2.00/Benes 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 06:15M. Moravec46711116113R. Benes4611691192
LSep 21 · 10:15M. Moravec48111296102R. Benes539101111123
LAug 31 · 12:10M. Moravec236980R. Benes331111113
LAug 29 · 16:15M. Moravec4811814872R. Benes516111211113
WAug 3 · 12:45M. Moravec545141012133R. Benes5611121210112
WAug 3 · 10:15M. Moravec341111123R. Benes2495100
LJul 28 · 10:10M. Moravec2810990R. Benes341211113
WJul 27 · 13:20M. Moravec50111549113R. Benes53913111192
WJul 27 · 10:10M. Moravec4413119113R. Benes361171171
LJul 22 · 13:10M. Moravec4611513892R. Benes539111111113
M. Moravec10
WSep 22 · 10:10M. Moravec1.441111143A. Cizek2.6366120WSep 22 · 08:15M. Moravec2.00111182113T. Kindl1.7397111182LSep 22 · 06:45T. Krenek1.8081118113M. Moravec1.911171691WSep 22 · 06:15R. Benes1.9111691192M. Moravec1.80711116113WSep 21 · 12:50T. Kindl1.508151091M. Moravec2.50111312113LSep 21 · 12:15M. Moravec2.00811811112T. Kindl1.73115118133LSep 21 · 10:45T. Krenek1.9112811113M. Moravec1.801011691LSep 21 · 10:15R. Benes2.009101111123M. Moravec1.73111296102LSep 18 · 16:55K. Baros2.50111111113M. Moravec1.50871351LSep 18 · 15:45A. Cizek2.751411113M. Moravec1.4012730
R. Benes10
LSep 22 · 07:45T. Krenek1.731110911113R. Benes2.0091211892LSep 22 · 07:15T. Kindl1.91111189113R. Benes1.8059111192LSep 22 · 06:15R. Benes1.9111691192M. Moravec1.80711116113WSep 21 · 13:19T. Krenek1.8387100R. Benes1.831111123LSep 21 · 11:45T. Krenek1.831213113R. Benes1.83101160WSep 21 · 11:15T. Kindl1.9181141192R. Benes1.80119118113WSep 21 · 10:15R. Benes2.009101111123M. Moravec1.73111296102LSep 21 · 09:19R. Benes2.0011116101T. Krenek1.7313911123WSep 21 · 08:15I. Heuman2.10119861R. Benes1.6751111113LSep 21 · 07:15R. Benes1.807890D. Pawlik1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
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