TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115911811611––
Radek Benes
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Benes to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radek Benes at 56.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 11–20 Radek Benes Ivan Heuman has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-20 in 31
Benes
Correct
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1566 vs Benes 1561
Heuman
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 60% vs Benes 40%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 50% vs Benes 30%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman -1 · Benes -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 2.10 / Benes 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Benes)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13166585
Heuman2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back32% 17 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Benes1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 301
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it76% 116 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman5wins
AwayBenes5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman50%4 of 8
AwayBenesn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman8Benes2n = 10Heuman took 8 of 10
S2Heuman5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S3Heuman3Benes7n = 10Benes took 7 of 10
S4Heuman3Benes6n = 9Benes took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanBenesH − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.8−1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 428 vs 502 / 96849.1%51.9%210 / 428 vs 502 / 968Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesHeuman 2.10/Benes 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 08:15I. Heuman34119861R. Benes3851111113
WAug 29 · 18:45I. Heuman43111110113R. Benes35881271
LAug 13 · 07:45I. Heuman32127941R. Benes43101111113
LJul 16 · 06:40I. Heuman34117791R. Benes4181111113
WJul 13 · 09:20I. Heuman49151445113R. Benes491312111122
WJul 13 · 06:45I. Heuman4291111113R. Benes32117681
WJul 1 · 16:10I. Heuman371113133R. Benes31911110
LJun 19 · 08:40I. Heuman30117571R. Benes3851111113
WJun 19 · 07:40I. Heuman4611168113R. Benes417141191
LJun 17 · 08:10I. Heuman30291181R. Benes4011117113
I. Heuman10
LSep 21 · 08:48I. Heuman1.7311111962D. Pawlik2.00661111113LSep 21 · 06:45T. Krenek1.80111311113I. Heuman1.91815771WSep 21 · 06:15D. Pawlik2.2011861152I. Heuman1.61811115113WSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990LSep 16 · 20:15I. Heuman1.7338100A. Cizek2.001111123WSep 16 · 18:45D. Stusek1.4497111172I. Heuman2.63111186113WSep 16 · 18:15A. Kanak1.831168101I. Heuman1.8361111123LSep 15 · 20:40I. Heuman1.6310311101A. Kanak2.1512119123WSep 15 · 20:10A. Kanak2.00581141I. Heuman1.7311118113LSep 15 · 19:10I. Heuman2.2010760D. Stusek1.611211113
R. Benes10
LSep 21 · 07:15R. Benes1.807890D. Pawlik1.911111113WSep 21 · 05:45T. Krenek1.80117991R. Benes1.9171111113LSep 19 · 13:15F. Chaloupka1.6081111113R. Benes2.07117881WSep 19 · 12:15R. Sedlacek2.008680R. Benes1.731111113LSep 19 · 11:15R. Benes2.10611461F. Chaloupka1.6711911113WSep 19 · 09:45K. Kleprlik2.0091171392R. Benes1.731181111113LSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192LSep 19 · 08:15R. Benes1.73510120R. Sedlacek2.001112143LSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792
Upcoming Matches
I. Heuman
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R. Benes
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