TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Moravec vs Tomas Kindl 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117811211118
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 4–4 Tomas Kindl Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 21:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kindl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1566 vs Kindl 1551
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Kindl 60%
Kindl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 30% vs Kindl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Kindl +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kindl)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.00 / Kindl 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kindl)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13173257
Moravec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 40 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Kindl1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 58 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 40 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMoravec4wins
AwayKindl4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%3 of 3
AwayKindl80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec3Kindl5n = 8Kindl took 5 of 8
S2Moravec3Kindl5n = 8Kindl took 5 of 8
S3Moravec4Kindl4n = 8split evenly
S4Moravec5Kindl1n = 6Moravec took 5 of 6
S5Moravec1Kindl2n = 3Kindl took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricMoravecKindlM − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.040.5−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 389 vs 218 / 43650.1%50%195 / 389 vs 218 / 436Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.941.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 2.00/Kindl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 21 · 12:50M. Moravec47111312113T. Kindl428151091
LSep 21 · 12:15M. Moravec49811811112T. Kindl48115118133
WSep 16 · 10:10M. Moravec4011117113T. Kindl36791191
LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec237880T. Kindl331111113
LAug 3 · 11:45M. Moravec226790T. Kindl331111113
WApr 23 · 11:10M. Moravec44101111123T. Kindl381288101
LMar 3 · 10:05M. Moravec4758111582T. Kindl531111713113
WMar 3 · 07:10M. Moravec481141111113T. Kindl4151191332
M. Moravec10
WSep 22 · 08:53M. Moravec2.001111113R. Benes1.732460LSep 22 · 06:45T. Krenek1.8081118113M. Moravec1.911171691WSep 22 · 06:15R. Benes1.9111691192M. Moravec1.80711116113WSep 21 · 12:50T. Kindl1.508151091M. Moravec2.50111312113LSep 21 · 12:15M. Moravec2.00811811112T. Kindl1.73115118133LSep 21 · 10:45T. Krenek1.9112811113M. Moravec1.801011691LSep 21 · 10:15R. Benes2.009101111123M. Moravec1.73111296102LSep 18 · 16:55K. Baros2.50111111113M. Moravec1.50871351LSep 18 · 15:45A. Cizek2.751411113M. Moravec1.4012730LSep 18 · 15:15K. Baros2.6311128113M. Moravec1.449101181
T. Kindl10
WSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek2.1010911101T. Kindl1.6712117123WSep 22 · 07:15T. Kindl1.91111189113R. Benes1.8059111192WSep 22 · 05:45T. Krenek1.6711781182T. Kindl2.10511119113LSep 21 · 12:50T. Kindl1.508151091M. Moravec2.50111312113WSep 21 · 12:15M. Moravec2.00811811112T. Kindl1.73115118133LSep 21 · 11:15T. Kindl1.9181141192R. Benes1.80119118113LSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek1.83116115113T. Kindl1.8321151192LSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113WSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113
Upcoming Matches
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