TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Kindl vs Dalibor Velky Jr 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalibor Velky Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Dalibor Velky Jr at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 5–13 Dalibor Velky Jr Tomas Kindl has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Jr
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1524 vs Jr 1582
Jr
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 60% vs Jr 40%
Kindl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 40% vs Jr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl -1 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.91 / Jr 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13186730
Kindl1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 49 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Jr1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 68 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 52 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKindl3wins
AwayJr7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKindl60%3 of 5
AwayJr100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Kindl2Jr8n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S3Kindl5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S4Kindl3Jr3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKindlJrK − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.8−4.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlJrBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 440 vs 278 / 55849.8%49.8%219 / 440 vs 278 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrKindl 1.91/Jr 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 07:10T. Kindl259880D. Jr331111113
LSep 17 · 08:45T. Kindl44111111472D. Jr47513711113
LSep 17 · 06:15T. Kindl435161481D. Jr52111812113
LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl34791351D. Jr44111111113
WSep 8 · 12:10T. Kindl331111113D. Jr224990
WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl4312713113D. Jr4110111191
LAug 21 · 06:45T. Kindl53122201272D. Jr6410112210113
LAug 5 · 07:10T. Kindl2798100D. Jr341111123
WJul 19 · 18:40T. Kindl3711114113D. Jr35781191
LJul 7 · 08:40T. Kindl2891270D. Jr361114113
T. Kindl10
LSep 24 · 05:40T. Krenek1.671111811113T. Kindl2.1098111372WSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek2.1010911101T. Kindl1.6712117123LSep 22 · 08:15M. Moravec2.00111182113T. Kindl1.7397111182WSep 22 · 07:15T. Kindl1.91111189113R. Benes1.8059111192WSep 22 · 05:45T. Krenek1.6711781182T. Kindl2.10511119113LSep 21 · 12:50T. Kindl1.508151091M. Moravec2.50111312113WSep 21 · 12:15M. Moravec2.00811811112T. Kindl1.73115118133LSep 21 · 11:15T. Kindl1.9181141192R. Benes1.80119118113LSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek1.83116115113T. Kindl1.8321151192LSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113
D. Jr10
WSep 24 · 07:40T. Krenek1.501241191D. Jr2.50101113113LSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr2.0011511652R. Sedlacek1.73611611113WSep 23 · 16:45A. Kanak1.8011641282D. Jr1.918111110113WSep 23 · 15:45D. Jr2.25571316143B. Mrowetz1.5711111114122LSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123LSep 23 · 13:45D. Jr1.80127811102A. Kanak1.911011118123LSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782WSep 22 · 12:15D. Pawlik2.009790D. Jr1.731111113LSep 22 · 11:15D. Jr2.5011581182T. Krenek1.50911117113WSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.501191171D. Jr2.5013116113
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