TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jiri Skalicky vs Jakub Travnicek 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210611116511119
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Jakub Travnicek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 5–9 Jakub Travnicek Jiri Skalicky has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Travnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Travnicek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1623 vs Travnicek 1617
Skalicky
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 60% vs Travnicek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 60% vs Travnicek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky +1 · Travnicek +3
Travnicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.83 / Travnicek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Travnicek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13197688
Skalicky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Travnicek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkalicky4wins
AwayTravnicek6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderTravnicek leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkalickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTravnicek62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky2Travnicek8n = 10Travnicek took 8 of 10
S2Skalicky6Travnicek4n = 10Skalicky took 6 of 10
S3Skalicky4Travnicek6n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S4Skalicky5Travnicek3n = 8Skalicky took 5 of 8
S5Skalicky3Travnicek4n = 7Travnicek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkalickyTravnicekS − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match45.743.7+2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 206 vs 216 / 43151%50.1%105 / 206 vs 216 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekSkalicky 1.83/Travnicek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 4 · 12:45J. Skalicky2898110J. Travnicek351111133
LJul 4 · 11:15J. Skalicky537111113112J. Travnicek49115515133
WMay 10 · 16:15J. Skalicky481011511113J. Travnicek4012511842
LMay 8 · 20:43J. Skalicky49111111882J. Travnicek44136311113
WMay 8 · 18:40J. Skalicky4111811113J. Travnicek37911891
LApr 24 · 18:10J. Skalicky511191011102J. Travnicek44611123123
LMar 13 · 21:15J. Skalicky269890J. Travnicek331111113
WFeb 14 · 18:45J. Skalicky5611111112113J. Travnicek4713861462
WFeb 13 · 21:45J. Skalicky535111211143J. Travnicek52118147122
LJan 17 · 21:10J. Skalicky52711131292J. Travnicek561191510113
J. Skalicky10
LSep 26 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.738760D. Jr2.001111113WSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113LSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151WSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881
J. Travnicek10
WSep 22 · 21:08J. Travnicek1.83971111143D. Stusek1.83111195122WSep 22 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8081140J. Travnicek1.911113113WSep 22 · 19:15D. Vitasek1.8031251182J. Travnicek1.911110119113LSep 22 · 18:15J. Travnicek1.8061011131T. Fojtik1.9111126153LSep 20 · 20:54J. Travnicek1.839490D. Vitasek1.831111113WSep 20 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.9110111110113D. Vitasek1.8012851282LSep 20 · 18:45M. Macurak1.671091112113J. Travnicek2.10121141072LSep 20 · 18:15J. Skvrna1.8311811113J. Travnicek1.83711941WSep 19 · 09:09F. Chaloupka1.508570J. Travnicek2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970
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