TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Travnicek vs Tomas Fojtik 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61110121161315––
Tomas Fojtik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Tomas Fojtik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 84 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 4–3 Tomas Fojtik Tomas Fojtik has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Travnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1596 vs Fojtik 1583
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 40% vs Fojtik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 50% vs Fojtik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek -1 · Fojtik -3
Fojtik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojtik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.80 / Fojtik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Travnicek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13176737
Travnicek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite43% won 32 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Fojtik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 35 days ago (Aug 18) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 48 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTravnicek4wins
AwayFojtik3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderTravnicek leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek50%2 of 4
AwayFojtik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek4Fojtik3n = 7Travnicek took 4 of 7
S2Travnicek2Fojtik5n = 7Fojtik took 5 of 7
S3Travnicek4Fojtik3n = 7Travnicek took 4 of 7
S4Travnicek4Fojtik3n = 7Travnicek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricTravnicekFojtikT − FBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.639.6+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekFojtikBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 427 vs 146 / 29749.9%49.2%213 / 427 vs 146 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.80/Fojtik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fojtik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 30 · 21:30J. Travnicek4691511113T. Fojtik401113971
LJul 30 · 18:45J. Travnicek355101191T. Fojtik4011126113
LJul 20 · 19:10J. Travnicek341161161T. Fojtik4491113113
LJul 13 · 19:15J. Travnicek361168111T. Fojtik4161111133
WJul 11 · 07:15J. Travnicek4391112113T. Fojtik391191091
WJun 28 · 14:15J. Travnicek4411913113T. Fojtik313111161
WJan 24 · 15:40J. Travnicek53119913113T. Fojtik42511111142
J. Travnicek10
WSep 22 · 19:15D. Vitasek1.8031251182J. Travnicek1.911110119113LSep 20 · 20:54J. Travnicek1.839490D. Vitasek1.831111113WSep 20 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.9110111110113D. Vitasek1.8012851282LSep 20 · 18:45M. Macurak1.671091112113J. Travnicek2.10121141072LSep 20 · 18:15J. Skvrna1.8311811113J. Travnicek1.83711941WSep 19 · 09:09F. Chaloupka1.508570J. Travnicek2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133WSep 19 · 06:10J. Travnicek2.7512111110113D. Vitasek1.40105131272WSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680
T. Fojtik10
LSep 22 · 18:45D. Stusek1.8012111112113T. Fojtik1.9114341482LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik1.80111176102L. Slavik1.91691111123LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik1.833137131T. Lysek1.83111111153WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 09:20T. Fojtik1.7213811113D. Jr2.001111561WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.80116581T. Fojtik1.9191111113WAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113
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