TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Stusek vs Tomas Fojtik 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
David Stusek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141131141214118
Tomas Fojtik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:36 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Stusek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Stusek above · Tomas Fojtik below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 100 set 5, 11-8 — our read held David Stusek at 54.5%
100 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1607 vs Fojtik 1595
Stusek
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 60% vs Fojtik 40%
Stusek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 60% vs Fojtik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek +2 · Fojtik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojtik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.80 / Fojtik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stusek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13176827
Stusek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 28 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Fojtik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 48 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekFojtikBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 190 vs 147 / 29850%49.3%95 / 190 vs 147 / 298Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekStusek 1.80/Fojtik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stusek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Stusek10
WSep 22 · 17:45D. Stusek1.2811119113D. Vitasek3.50971171WSep 16 · 20:38D. Stusek1.574111116113A. Cizek2.2511781832LSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113LSep 16 · 18:45D. Stusek1.4497111172I. Heuman2.63111186113WSep 16 · 17:45D. Stusek1.61381111113A. Cizek2.2011119392WSep 15 · 21:08D. Stusek1.7311811113J. Travnicek2.00711271WSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek1.83961171D. Stusek1.8311116113WSep 15 · 19:10I. Heuman2.2010760D. Stusek1.611211113LSep 15 · 18:10D. Stusek1.80117691A. Kanak1.9141111113LSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970
T. Fojtik10
WSep 22 · 18:15J. Travnicek1.8061011131T. Fojtik1.9111126153LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik1.80111176102L. Slavik1.91691111123LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik1.833137131T. Lysek1.83111111153WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 09:20T. Fojtik1.7213811113D. Jr2.001111561WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.80116581T. Fojtik1.9191111113WAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Stusek
Nothing scheduled
T. Fojtik
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