TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Travnicek vs David Stusek 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9117111191151412
David Stusek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · David Stusek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 100 set 5, 14-12
100 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 7–7 David Stusek Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Travnicek beat Stusek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.83 / Stusek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stusek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13180576
Travnicek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Stusek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek5wins
AwayStusek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek80%4 of 5
AwayStusek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S2Travnicek6Stusek4n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek4Stusek6n = 10Stusek took 6 of 10
S4Travnicek3Stusek6n = 9Stusek took 6 of 9
S5Travnicek3Stusek1n = 4Travnicek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekStusekT − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.4−1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 430 vs 96 / 19250%50%215 / 430 vs 96 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekTravnicek 1.83/Stusek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 19:45J. Travnicek351113113D. Stusek2381140
LSep 15 · 21:08J. Travnicek27711271D. Stusek4111811113
LSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek33961171D. Stusek3911116113
LJul 31 · 21:08J. Travnicek4011121251D. Stusek48131410113
WJul 31 · 17:40J. Travnicek4281111123D. Stusek301136101
LMay 8 · 18:10J. Travnicek36118981D. Stusek4071111113
WMar 13 · 18:45J. Travnicek44111163133D. Stusek48691111112
WFeb 19 · 20:10J. Travnicek51148711113D. Stusek51121111892
WJan 20 · 22:25J. Travnicek55151198123D. Stusek481331111102
LJan 17 · 22:19J. Travnicek4761371472D. Stusek5611111112113
J. Travnicek10
WSep 22 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8081140J. Travnicek1.911113113WSep 22 · 19:15D. Vitasek1.8031251182J. Travnicek1.911110119113LSep 22 · 18:15J. Travnicek1.8061011131T. Fojtik1.9111126153LSep 20 · 20:54J. Travnicek1.839490D. Vitasek1.831111113WSep 20 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.9110111110113D. Vitasek1.8012851282LSep 20 · 18:45M. Macurak1.671091112113J. Travnicek2.10121141072LSep 20 · 18:15J. Skvrna1.8311811113J. Travnicek1.83711941WSep 19 · 09:09F. Chaloupka1.508570J. Travnicek2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133
D. Stusek10
LSep 22 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8081140J. Travnicek1.911113113WSep 22 · 18:45D. Stusek1.8012111112113T. Fojtik1.9114341482WSep 22 · 17:45D. Stusek1.2811119113D. Vitasek3.50971171WSep 16 · 20:38D. Stusek1.574111116113A. Cizek2.2511781832LSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113LSep 16 · 18:45D. Stusek1.4497111172I. Heuman2.63111186113WSep 16 · 17:45D. Stusek1.61381111113A. Cizek2.2011119392WSep 15 · 21:08D. Stusek1.7311811113J. Travnicek2.00711271WSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek1.83961171D. Stusek1.8311116113WSep 15 · 19:10I. Heuman2.2010760D. Stusek1.611211113
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