TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Anton Veliiev vs Dalibor Velky Jr 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118711711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeDalibor Velky Jr to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Veliiev above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dalibor Velky Jr at 57.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Anton Veliiev 0–1 Dalibor Velky Jr Anton Veliiev has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Veliiev 1655 vs Jr 1631
Veliiev
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Veliiev 40% vs Jr 80%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Veliiev 70% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Veliiev -2 · Jr +3
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeliiev 2.00 / Jr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13196786
Veliiev2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 4 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Jr1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 24)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 67 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 51 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVeliiev0wins
AwayJr1wins
Jr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVeliievJrV − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeliievJrBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 229 vs 281 / 56158.5%50.1%134 / 229 vs 281 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrVeliiev 2.00/Jr 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 26 · 06:15A. Veliiev34911771D. Jr4111811113
A. Veliiev10
LSep 26 · 07:15J. Travnicek1.7311811113A. Veliiev2.00911881LSep 20 · 13:05O. Stehlik1.671111113A. Veliiev2.103960LSep 20 · 12:35A. Veliiev1.807890J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 20 · 11:05O. Stehlik2.0013112672A. Veliiev1.731161111113LSep 20 · 10:35O. Polak1.8311911113A. Veliiev1.83811871WSep 19 · 17:43A. Veliiev1.801311113O. Polak1.9111250WSep 19 · 16:35A. Veliiev2.639111110113O. Polak1.4411741252WSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113WSep 19 · 14:35M. Mastera1.40117591A. Veliiev2.7561111113WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163
D. Jr10
WSep 26 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.738760D. Jr2.001111113WSep 24 · 09:15D. Jr2.0011116113R. Sedlacek1.73491151WSep 24 · 07:40T. Krenek1.501241191D. Jr2.50101113113WSep 24 · 07:10T. Kindl1.919880D. Jr1.801111113LSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr2.0011511652R. Sedlacek1.73611611113WSep 23 · 16:45A. Kanak1.8011641282D. Jr1.918111110113WSep 23 · 15:45D. Jr2.25571316143B. Mrowetz1.5711111114122LSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123LSep 23 · 13:45D. Jr1.80127811102A. Kanak1.911011118123LSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782
Upcoming Matches
A. Veliiev
Nothing scheduled
D. Jr
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