TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158383
Played Sep 19Finished
Anton Veliiev
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111171141012115
Ondrej Polak
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:50 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeOndrej Polak to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Veliiev above · Ondrej Polak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Ondrej Polak at 61.6%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:50What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Polak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Veliiev 1744 vs Polak 1772
Polak
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Veliiev 100% vs Polak 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Veliiev 60% vs Polak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Veliiev +6 · Polak +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Polak) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeliiev 2.63 / Polak 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Polak)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13158383
Veliiev2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog21% won 3 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Polak1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 28 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeliievPolakBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 221 vs 88 / 15159.3%58.3%131 / 221 vs 88 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolakVeliiev 2.63/Polak 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Polak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Veliiev won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Veliiev10
WSep 19 · 17:43A. Veliiev1.801311113O. Polak1.9111250WSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113WSep 19 · 14:35M. Mastera1.40117591A. Veliiev2.7561111113WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560
O. Polak10
LSep 19 · 17:43A. Veliiev1.801311113O. Polak1.9111250WSep 19 · 15:35O. Polak1.611111113M. Mastera2.206960WSep 19 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80811671O. Polak1.9111811113WSep 18 · 13:33O. Polak1.83971111113T. Bartik1.8311117772WSep 18 · 12:35J. Ruzicka1.837480O. Polak1.831111113WSep 18 · 11:35O. Polak2.38111110113F. Karel1.53581281WSep 18 · 10:05T. Bartik1.671110691O. Polak2.1071211113LSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.83811118113O. Polak1.8311551112WSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113
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