TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13153856
Played Sep 18Finished
Ondrej Polak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911711117117117
Tomas Bartik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOndrej Polak above · Tomas Bartik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7
92 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Polak 5–6 Tomas Bartik Ondrej Polak has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Polak beat Bartik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolak 1.83 / Bartik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13153856
Polak1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Bartik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolak5wins
AwayBartik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolak75%3 of 4
AwayBartik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polak4Bartik6n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S2Polak6Bartik4n = 10Polak took 6 of 10
S3Polak6Bartik4n = 10Polak took 6 of 10
S4Polak4Bartik5n = 9Bartik took 5 of 9
S5Polak2Bartik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolakBartikP − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.4−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolakBartikBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 148 vs 188 / 32057.4%58.8%85 / 148 vs 188 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolakPolak 1.83/Bartik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Polak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 10:05O. Polak4171211113T. Bartik361110691
WAug 22 · 15:05O. Polak50121188113T. Bartik45105111182
LAug 10 · 17:10O. Polak367101361T. Bartik45111211113
WAug 10 · 15:05O. Polak46613511113T. Bartik41111111532
WJun 23 · 15:35O. Polak4211119113T. Bartik34691181
LJun 19 · 10:35O. Polak34691181T. Bartik3911116113
LJun 14 · 16:05O. Polak3411541132T. Bartik51911119113
WJun 12 · 11:35O. Polak331111113T. Bartik219390
LFeb 22 · 18:10O. Polak3621111752T. Bartik48119611113
LFeb 22 · 16:05O. Polak397141171T. Bartik4411166113
O. Polak10
WSep 18 · 12:35J. Ruzicka1.837480O. Polak1.831111113WSep 18 · 11:35O. Polak2.38111110113F. Karel1.53581281WSep 18 · 10:05T. Bartik1.671110691O. Polak2.1071211113LSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.83811118113O. Polak1.8311551112WSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113WAug 22 · 17:15O. Polak2.0081111113T. Trnka1.73116751WAug 22 · 16:35O. Polak1.73126115133T. Trnka2.001011411112WAug 22 · 15:05T. Bartik1.67105111182O. Polak2.10121188113
T. Bartik10
WSep 18 · 12:05T. Bartik1.731311123F. Karel2.00116100LSep 18 · 11:05T. Bartik1.61117119102J. Ruzicka2.20911911123LSep 18 · 10:05T. Bartik1.671110691O. Polak2.1071211113WSep 17 · 21:33O. Stehlik2.50117691T. Bartik1.5051111113WSep 17 · 20:05T. Bartik1.361511106123J. Ruzicka3.001361211102LSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:05T. Bartik1.40111187113T. Trnka2.7597111192LSep 14 · 17:40T. Bartik1.51131191192M. Kucera2.35153116113WSep 14 · 16:05T. Bartik1.5711185113M. Kucera2.256161131LAug 22 · 15:05T. Bartik1.67105111182O. Polak2.10121188113
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