TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160633
Played Sep 19Finished
Anton Veliiev
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311112115––––
Ondrej Polak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingAnton Veliiev above · Ondrej Polak below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5
53 points played in total.
H2H Anton Veliiev 1–0 Ondrej Polak Ondrej Polak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Veliiev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeliiev 1.80 / Polak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Veliiev)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13160633
Veliiev1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 44 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Polak1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog66% won 19 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back56% 9 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVeliiev1wins
AwayPolak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVeliiev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVeliievPolakV − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match52.039.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeliievPolakBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 222 vs 88 / 15259.5%57.9%132 / 222 vs 88 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievVeliiev 1.80/Polak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 16:35A. Veliiev529111110113O. Polak3911741252
A. Veliiev10
WSep 19 · 16:35A. Veliiev2.639111110113O. Polak1.4411741252WSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113WSep 19 · 14:35M. Mastera1.40117591A. Veliiev2.7561111113WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560
O. Polak10
LSep 19 · 16:35A. Veliiev2.639111110113O. Polak1.4411741252WSep 19 · 15:35O. Polak1.611111113M. Mastera2.206960WSep 19 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80811671O. Polak1.9111811113WSep 18 · 13:33O. Polak1.83971111113T. Bartik1.8311117772WSep 18 · 12:35J. Ruzicka1.837480O. Polak1.831111113WSep 18 · 11:35O. Polak2.38111110113F. Karel1.53581281WSep 18 · 10:05T. Bartik1.671110691O. Polak2.1071211113LSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.83811118113O. Polak1.8311551112WSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113
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