TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dalibor Velky Jr vs Radek Sedlacek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119611115––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 12–11 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sedlacek beat Jr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickContradict
Sealed 08:43What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1582 vs Sedlacek 1567
Jr
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 80% vs Sedlacek 40%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Sedlacek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Sedlacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Sedlacek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sedlacek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13188180
Jr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 114 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Sedlacek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 38 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 24 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwaySedlacek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%4 of 6
AwaySedlacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Sedlacek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Jr4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Sedlacek3n = 7Jr took 4 of 7
S5Jr1Sedlacek3n = 4Sedlacek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrSedlacekJ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.2−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 558 vs 150 / 32449.8%46.3%278 / 558 vs 150 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 2.00/Sedlacek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr3811511652R. Sedlacek45611611113
WSep 13 · 19:10D. Jr331111113R. Sedlacek236980
LSep 4 · 10:40D. Jr258890R. Sedlacek331111113
LAug 18 · 09:45D. Jr4291231172R. Sedlacek521110119113
LAug 10 · 07:45D. Jr27711451R. Sedlacek4211911113
LJul 27 · 07:10D. Jr4511117972R. Sedlacek42631111113
WJul 17 · 09:14D. Jr5511101211113R. Sedlacek4781214582
WJul 17 · 07:15D. Jr4211911113R. Sedlacek31711671
LJul 15 · 08:40D. Jr28108100R. Sedlacek351211123
WJul 15 · 08:10D. Jr4311911123R. Sedlacek327114101
D. Jr10
WSep 24 · 07:40T. Krenek1.501241191D. Jr2.50101113113WSep 24 · 07:10T. Kindl1.919880D. Jr1.801111113LSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr2.0011511652R. Sedlacek1.73611611113WSep 23 · 16:45A. Kanak1.8011641282D. Jr1.918111110113WSep 23 · 15:45D. Jr2.25571316143B. Mrowetz1.5711111114122LSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123LSep 23 · 13:45D. Jr1.80127811102A. Kanak1.911011118123LSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782WSep 22 · 12:15D. Pawlik2.009790D. Jr1.731111113LSep 22 · 11:15D. Jr2.5011581182T. Krenek1.50911117113
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 24 · 10:10D. Pawlik1.61116191R. Sedlacek2.2051111113WSep 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.73131113113T. Kindl2.001141531WSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr2.0011511652R. Sedlacek1.73611611113LSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 12:15R. Sedlacek2.008680R. Benes1.731111113LSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782WSep 19 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.531041581R. Sedlacek2.38121113113WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192WSep 19 · 08:15R. Benes1.73510120R. Sedlacek2.001112143LSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
Nothing scheduled
R. Sedlacek
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