TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dominik Pawlik vs Radek Sedlacek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Dominik Pawlik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115611111911––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDominik Pawlik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Pawlik above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 65 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dominik Pawlik at 58.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Pawlik 9–4 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:41What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pawlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Pawlik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1520 vs Sedlacek 1567
Sedlacek
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 0% vs Sedlacek 40%
Sedlacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 10% vs Sedlacek 50%
Sedlacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik -8 · Sedlacek -1
Pawlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.61 / Sedlacek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pawlik)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13186576
Pawlik1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 64 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Sedlacek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 33 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik7wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik75%6 of 8
AwaySedlacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik8Sedlacek2n = 10Pawlik took 8 of 10
S2Pawlik5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pawlik8Sedlacek2n = 10Pawlik took 8 of 10
S4Pawlik3Sedlacek4n = 7Sedlacek took 4 of 7
S5Pawlik2Sedlacek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikSedlacekP − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.834.8+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 489 vs 150 / 32549.5%46.2%242 / 489 vs 150 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.61/Sedlacek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik331111113R. Sedlacek195770
WSep 9 · 06:10D. Pawlik4311119123R. Sedlacek358611101
LJul 27 · 09:10D. Pawlik50109111192R. Sedlacek48121168113
WJul 27 · 05:40D. Pawlik331111113R. Sedlacek208480
LJun 3 · 09:45D. Pawlik3511411542R. Sedlacek41611211113
WMay 25 · 14:40D. Pawlik4011711113R. Sedlacek34711791
WMay 20 · 09:20D. Pawlik341211113R. Sedlacek2210570
WMay 20 · 06:15D. Pawlik521110114163R. Sedlacek44512211142
WMay 6 · 12:40D. Pawlik40411113113R. Sedlacek4211941172
LMay 6 · 11:40D. Pawlik3811107101R. Sedlacek4381211123
D. Pawlik10
LSep 24 · 11:10L. Dzida1.831111123D. Pawlik1.8348100LSep 24 · 08:45J. Krupnik1.5010111111113D. Pawlik2.5012138882LSep 24 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.914101561I. Heuman1.80111213113LSep 24 · 06:45J. Skvrna1.531113410113D. Pawlik2.38211111262LSep 24 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.6115511113D. Pawlik2.201311771LSep 22 · 12:44J. Skvrna1.5711117113D. Pawlik2.25671191LSep 22 · 12:15D. Pawlik2.009790D. Jr1.731111113LSep 22 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.57125117113D. Pawlik2.25101151152LSep 22 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111177123D. Pawlik2.00681111102WSep 21 · 08:48I. Heuman1.7311111962D. Pawlik2.00661111113
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 24 · 10:40T. Krenek1.73651181R. Sedlacek2.0011119113LSep 24 · 09:15D. Jr2.0011116113R. Sedlacek1.73491151WSep 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.73131113113T. Kindl2.001141531LSep 24 · 06:40T. Krenek1.671151011113R. Sedlacek2.1091112792WSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr2.0011511652R. Sedlacek1.73611611113LSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 12:15R. Sedlacek2.008680R. Benes1.731111113LSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782WSep 19 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.531041581R. Sedlacek2.38121113113WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192
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