TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Krenek vs Radek Sedlacek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611511119811––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 58.6%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 13–10 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Krenek beat Sedlacek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Krenek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1680 vs Sedlacek 1577
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Sedlacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Sedlacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -1 · Sedlacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.73 / Sedlacek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Krenek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13186813
Krenek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 124 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 112
Sedlacek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 33 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek5wins
AwaySedlacek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek42.9%3 of 7
AwaySedlacek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek7Sedlacek3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Krenek5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Krenek4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S4Krenek3Sedlacek5n = 8Sedlacek took 5 of 8
S5Krenek2Sedlacek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekSedlacekK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.3+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 962 vs 151 / 32651.4%46.3%494 / 962 vs 151 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.73/Sedlacek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:40T. Krenek481151011113R. Sedlacek4891112792
LSep 2 · 11:45T. Krenek3711115101R. Sedlacek4591311123
LAug 18 · 17:08T. Krenek391410961R. Sedlacek46121211113
LAug 18 · 14:10T. Krenek4811129972R. Sedlacek518101111113
WAug 10 · 12:10T. Krenek50111113153R. Sedlacek387315131
WJul 15 · 07:10T. Krenek44111111113R. Sedlacek32133791
WApr 22 · 12:40T. Krenek351111133R. Sedlacek2366110
LApr 22 · 11:10T. Krenek36917100R. Sedlacek421119123
WApr 14 · 12:45T. Krenek484111111113R. Sedlacek4811691392
LApr 14 · 11:40T. Krenek4611911872R. Sedlacek50811911113
T. Krenek10
LSep 24 · 11:40T. Krenek1.676680D. Pawlik2.101111113LSep 24 · 09:40T. Krenek1.5788130L. Dzida2.251111153WSep 24 · 08:45T. Krenek1.63121111113T. Kindl2.13148381LSep 24 · 07:40T. Krenek1.501241191D. Jr2.50101113113WSep 24 · 06:40T. Krenek1.671151011113R. Sedlacek2.1091112792WSep 24 · 05:40T. Krenek1.671111811113T. Kindl2.1098111372WSep 23 · 12:43M. Raska2.6311101271T. Krenek1.4491214113LSep 23 · 11:40T. Krenek1.61611391L. Kantor2.2011211113WSep 23 · 10:40T. Krenek1.53117119113R. Solle2.3881151172LSep 23 · 09:40T. Krenek1.441168101M. Raska2.6351111123
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 24 · 10:10D. Pawlik1.61116191R. Sedlacek2.2051111113LSep 24 · 09:15D. Jr2.0011116113R. Sedlacek1.73491151WSep 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.73131113113T. Kindl2.001141531LSep 24 · 06:40T. Krenek1.671151011113R. Sedlacek2.1091112792WSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr2.0011511652R. Sedlacek1.73611611113LSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 12:15R. Sedlacek2.008680R. Benes1.731111113LSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782WSep 19 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.531041581R. Sedlacek2.38121113113WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192
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