TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Krenek vs Radovan Solle 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711115911117
Radovan Solle
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 60.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 1–2 Radovan Solle Tomas Krenek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1696 vs Solle 1449
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 80% vs Solle 20%
Krenek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Solle 30%
Krenek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -1 · Solle +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solle form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.53 / Solle 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Krenek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13180681
Krenek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 122 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 82 of 110
Solle2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 9 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrenek1wins
AwaySolle2wins
Solle leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek1Solle2n = 3Solle took 2 of 3
S2Krenek2Solle1n = 3Krenek took 2 of 3
S3Krenek0Solle3n = 3Solle took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrenekSolleK − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.033.0−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 954 vs 23 / 5551.3%41.8%489 / 954 vs 23 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.53/Solle 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJan 22 · 13:50T. Krenek31311891R. Solle3811511113
WJan 22 · 12:10T. Krenek4011117113R. Solle28361181
LJan 14 · 13:40T. Krenek196670R. Solle331111113
T. Krenek10
LSep 23 · 11:40T. Krenek1.61611391L. Kantor2.2011211113LSep 23 · 09:40T. Krenek1.441168101M. Raska2.6351111123WSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782WSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113WSep 22 · 11:15D. Jr2.5011581182T. Krenek1.50911117113WSep 22 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111177123D. Pawlik2.00681111102LSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek2.1010911101T. Kindl1.6712117123WSep 22 · 07:45T. Krenek1.731110911113R. Benes2.0091211892WSep 22 · 06:45T. Krenek1.8081118113M. Moravec1.911171691LSep 22 · 05:45T. Krenek1.6711781182T. Kindl2.10511119113
R. Solle10
WSep 23 · 10:10L. Kantor1.3631121262R. Solle3.001171110113LSep 23 · 08:43R. Benes1.50911911113R. Solle2.5011911782LSep 23 · 08:10R. Solle3.257811131E. Precek1.3311117153LSep 23 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.57111198113R. Solle2.2578111182LSep 23 · 06:10R. Benes1.6111119113R. Solle2.20861161WSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 15:40L. Lasota1.7391111113R. Solle2.00116851LSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 10 · 13:15T. Kindl1.44113119173R. Solle2.63411611152
Upcoming Matches
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R. Solle
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