TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Raska vs Tomas Krenek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Michal Raska
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11910121214711––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Raska above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 86 set 4, 7-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Michal Raska 6–7 Tomas Krenek Michal Raska has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Raska beat Krenek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRaska 2.63 / Krenek 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Krenek)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13183584
Raska2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Krenek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 122 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 82 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRaska6wins
AwayKrenek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRaska leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRaska66.7%4 of 6
AwayKrenek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Raska6Krenek4n = 10Raska took 6 of 10
S2Raska5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Raska7Krenek3n = 10Raska took 7 of 10
S4Raska4Krenek3n = 7Raska took 4 of 7
S5Raska1Krenek2n = 3Krenek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRaskaKrenekR − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.542.8−0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRaskaKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 501 vs 490 / 95647.5%51.3%238 / 501 vs 490 / 956Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekRaska 2.63/Krenek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 09:40M. Raska3951111123T. Krenek351168101
LJul 21 · 10:10M. Raska5716229101T. Krenek61142411123
LJul 21 · 09:20M. Raska4241212682T. Krenek5311101011113
LJul 21 · 05:40M. Raska29101270T. Krenek371214113
LJul 20 · 08:40M. Raska43115116102T. Krenek50911711123
WJul 20 · 05:40M. Raska521110911113T. Krenek4981211992
WJul 5 · 15:15M. Raska351113113T. Krenek2991190
WMar 25 · 11:10M. Raska5217717113T. Krenek5015111591
WMar 25 · 09:10M. Raska331111113T. Krenek257990
WMar 18 · 07:40M. Raska4391111123T. Krenek391199101
M. Raska10
LSep 23 · 12:10R. Solle1.7311611153M. Raska2.008116131LSep 23 · 11:10M. Raska2.10711391L. Kantor1.6711811113WSep 23 · 09:40T. Krenek1.441168101M. Raska2.6351111123LSep 22 · 12:39M. Raska2.10119951A. Cizek1.6741111113WSep 22 · 12:10A. Cizek1.7381010M. Raska2.001112113LSep 22 · 11:10M. Raska2.2088130M. Moravec1.611111153LSep 22 · 09:40L. Kantor1.671111113M. Raska2.105570LAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 20:15M. Raska1.73113521J. Volny2.0061111113LAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791
T. Krenek10
LSep 23 · 11:40T. Krenek1.61611391L. Kantor2.2011211113WSep 23 · 10:40T. Krenek1.53117119113R. Solle2.3881151172LSep 23 · 09:40T. Krenek1.441168101M. Raska2.6351111123WSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782WSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113WSep 22 · 11:15D. Jr2.5011581182T. Krenek1.50911117113WSep 22 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111177123D. Pawlik2.00681111102LSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek2.1010911101T. Kindl1.6712117123WSep 22 · 07:45T. Krenek1.731110911113R. Benes2.0091211892WSep 22 · 06:45T. Krenek1.8081118113M. Moravec1.911171691
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