TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Krenek vs Tomas Kindl 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1214118113118––
Tomas Kindl
Away
2.13
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:43 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 56.4%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 15–14 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-14 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1700 vs Kindl 1502
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Kindl 20%
Krenek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 70% vs Kindl 40%
Krenek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -1 · Kindl -3
Kindl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.63 / Kindl 2.13
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Krenek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13188181
Krenek1.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 124 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 112
Kindl2.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 49 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek7wins
AwayKindl3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek71.4%5 of 7
AwayKindl33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek7Kindl3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Krenek3Kindl7n = 10Kindl took 7 of 10
S3Krenek4Kindl6n = 10Kindl took 6 of 10
S4Krenek6Kindl4n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S5Krenek5Kindl1n = 6Krenek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekKindlKrenek − KindlBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.544.2+1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 961 vs 219 / 44251.4%49.6%494 / 961 vs 219 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.441.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.63/Kindl 2.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 08:45T. Krenek45121111113T. Kindl33148381
WSep 24 · 05:40T. Krenek521111811113T. Kindl4898111372
LSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek4010911101T. Kindl4212117123
LSep 22 · 05:45T. Krenek4511781182T. Kindl47511119113
WSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek44116115113T. Kindl3821151192
WSep 8 · 11:10T. Krenek45101113113T. Kindl411291191
WAug 19 · 07:45T. Krenek52119911123T. Kindl46511119102
LJul 20 · 06:40T. Krenek331184101T. Kindl4391111123
WJun 23 · 10:40T. Krenek45115611123T. Kindl50911119102
WJun 2 · 13:10T. Krenek541831012113T. Kindl541611121052
T. Krenek10
LSep 24 · 09:40T. Krenek1.5788130L. Dzida2.251111153LSep 24 · 07:40T. Krenek1.501241191D. Jr2.50101113113WSep 24 · 06:40T. Krenek1.671151011113R. Sedlacek2.1091112792WSep 24 · 05:40T. Krenek1.671111811113T. Kindl2.1098111372WSep 23 · 12:43M. Raska2.6311101271T. Krenek1.4491214113LSep 23 · 11:40T. Krenek1.61611391L. Kantor2.2011211113WSep 23 · 10:40T. Krenek1.53117119113R. Solle2.3881151172LSep 23 · 09:40T. Krenek1.441168101M. Raska2.6351111123WSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782WSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113
T. Kindl10
LSep 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.73131113113T. Kindl2.001141531LSep 24 · 07:10T. Kindl1.919880D. Jr1.801111113LSep 24 · 05:40T. Krenek1.671111811113T. Kindl2.1098111372WSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek2.1010911101T. Kindl1.6712117123LSep 22 · 08:15M. Moravec2.00111182113T. Kindl1.7397111182WSep 22 · 07:15T. Kindl1.91111189113R. Benes1.8059111192WSep 22 · 05:45T. Krenek1.6711781182T. Kindl2.10511119113LSep 21 · 12:50T. Kindl1.508151091M. Moravec2.50111312113WSep 21 · 12:15M. Moravec2.00811811112T. Kindl1.73115118133LSep 21 · 11:15T. Kindl1.9181141192R. Benes1.80119118113
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