TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vladislav Reska vs Karel Zeman 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711117711911
Karel Zeman
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Karel Zeman below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 18–12 Karel Zeman Karel Zeman has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-12 in 30
Reska
Wrong
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1463 vs Zeman 1438
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 60% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 40% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +1 · Zeman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.80 / Zeman 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reska)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13183990
Reska1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Zeman1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 31 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back43% 12 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back21% 3 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska6wins
AwayZeman4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska66.7%4 of 6
AwayZeman50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska6Zeman4n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S2Reska4Zeman6n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S3Reska3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S4Reska6Zeman2n = 8Reska took 6 of 8
S5Reska3Zeman1n = 4Reska took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaZemanR − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.3+2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 504 vs 180 / 32350.6%55.7%255 / 504 vs 180 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.80/Zeman 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:15V. Reska547111411113K. Zeman4211316572
WAug 30 · 18:45V. Reska46125711113K. Zeman41101111542
WAug 27 · 18:40V. Reska4311714113K. Zeman398111281
WAug 25 · 21:25V. Reska48871111113K. Zeman3511114362
LAug 25 · 19:45V. Reska4111731192K. Zeman47611118113
LAug 21 · 18:45V. Reska35711891K. Zeman3811511113
LAug 17 · 19:45V. Reska33118591K. Zeman4071111113
WAug 9 · 18:15V. Reska44111110123K. Zeman379612101
LJul 16 · 21:04V. Reska2551190K. Zeman351113113
WJul 16 · 18:40V. Reska331111113K. Zeman197570
V. Reska10
WSep 23 · 17:45V. Reska1.61711611113P. Chvojka2.2011811692LSep 20 · 17:15O. Kus2.2071111113V. Reska1.61118981WSep 20 · 15:40A. Drozd2.101011771V. Reska1.6712511113WSep 20 · 15:10P. Jokiel2.381011721V. Reska1.5312511113LSep 20 · 14:10V. Reska1.578611101O. Kus2.2511118123LSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123WSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113LSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100LSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861
K. Zeman10
LSep 23 · 18:15F. Theodor2.00891112123K. Zeman1.731111610102LSep 19 · 21:13K. Zeman1.801153101M. Janik1.9181111123WSep 19 · 19:45K. Zeman2.101051111123M. Janik1.67121179102WSep 19 · 18:45K. Zeman2.10101111113O. Skvor1.67129661WSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090WSep 16 · 21:05O. Kus2.046890K. Zeman1.661111113LSep 16 · 19:40K. Zeman1.53911841O. Kus2.3811511113WSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371WSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 14 · 20:48K. Zeman1.445960O. Kus2.631111113
Upcoming Matches
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K. Zeman
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