TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156157
Played Sep 18Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7117111012––––
Jan Przybyla
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12
58 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 15–9 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Reska beat Przybyla 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.57 / Przybyla 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Reska)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13156157
Reska1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 66 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Przybyla2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 42 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska7wins
AwayPrzybyla3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska100%5 of 5
AwayPrzybyla60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska5Przybyla5n = 10split evenly
S2Reska7Przybyla3n = 10Reska took 7 of 10
S3Reska7Przybyla3n = 10Reska took 7 of 10
S4Reska3Przybyla2n = 5Reska took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaPrzybylaR − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.931.1+5.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 498 vs 221 / 43450.6%50.9%252 / 498 vs 221 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.57/Przybyla 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 20:15V. Reska351311113J. Przybyla2111460
WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska4111811113J. Przybyla26311481
LJun 29 · 21:15V. Reska246990J. Przybyla331111113
WJun 29 · 20:15V. Reska341211113J. Przybyla2510960
WJun 21 · 20:10V. Reska331111113J. Przybyla185940
WMay 28 · 17:45V. Reska47671112113J. Przybyla46111161082
WMay 25 · 21:15V. Reska341211113J. Przybyla2410770
LMay 25 · 19:15V. Reska3761110101J. Przybyla4211712123
WMay 24 · 19:15V. Reska4281111123J. Przybyla311146101
LMay 19 · 18:40V. Reska4211111191J. Przybyla4513813113
V. Reska10
WSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113LSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100LSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 20:15D. Osvald1.67712891V. Reska2.10111011113WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481LSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133WSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271LSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 17 · 20:50J. Przybyla1.83512661D. Osvald1.83111011113LSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481WSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971LSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113
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