TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145236
Played Sep 17Finished
David Osvald
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111210811911––
Vladislav Reska
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H David Osvald 2–2 Vladislav Reska Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1456 vs Reska 1534
Reska
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Reska 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Reska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +1 · Reska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.67 / Reska 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Osvald)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13145236
Osvald1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 29 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Reska2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 54 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOsvald2wins
AwayReska2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvaldn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayReska66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald1Reska3n = 4Reska took 3 of 4
S2Osvald3Reska1n = 4Osvald took 3 of 4
S3Osvald2Reska2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricOsvaldReskaO − RBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.234.2+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 174 vs 251 / 49551.7%50.7%90 / 174 vs 251 / 495Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.67/Reska 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 17 · 20:15D. Osvald36712891V. Reska43111011113
WSep 7 · 16:49D. Osvald331111113V. Reska196940
LSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald29111080V. Reska361312113
WJun 25 · 14:10D. Osvald47911115113V. Reska3911751152
D. Osvald10
WSep 17 · 20:50J. Przybyla1.83512661D. Osvald1.83111011113WSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113LSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971WSep 8 · 17:00K. Baros1.909720D. Osvald1.801111113LSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 15:15D. Osvald1.577111051K. Baros2.2511512113WSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113LSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113
V. Reska10
WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481LSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133WSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113LSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102WSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113LSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191LSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113WSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113
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