TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145304
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311118119117––
David Osvald
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeDavid Osvald to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · David Osvald below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held David Osvald at 55.4%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 5–4 David Osvald David Osvald has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1412 vs Osvald 1490
Osvald
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 20% vs Osvald 60%
Osvald
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 20% vs Osvald 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -2 · Osvald +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 2.10 / Osvald 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Osvald)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13145304
Przybyla2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 42 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Osvald1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 29 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePrzybyla5wins
AwayOsvald4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPrzybyla leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybyla100%3 of 3
AwayOsvald66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla3Osvald6n = 9Osvald took 6 of 9
S2Przybyla7Osvald2n = 9Przybyla took 7 of 9
S3Przybyla4Osvald5n = 9Osvald took 5 of 9
S4Przybyla4Osvald2n = 6Przybyla took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricPrzybylaOsvaldP − OBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match37.035.3+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 427 vs 89 / 17151.5%52.1%220 / 427 vs 89 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldPrzybyla 2.10/Osvald 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 12 · 11:15J. Przybyla189540D. Osvald331111113
LJun 24 · 10:45J. Przybyla31511871D. Osvald4111811113
WApr 13 · 08:15J. Przybyla331111113D. Osvald198290
LMar 24 · 09:40J. Przybyla34913571D. Osvald44111111113
WMar 24 · 08:10J. Przybyla3911125113D. Osvald357101171
WFeb 24 · 08:15J. Przybyla4071111113D. Osvald25112751
WFeb 10 · 10:40J. Przybyla541291111113D. Osvald4414115772
LDec 31 · 10:10J. Przybyla49101171472D. Osvald541281112113
WDec 31 · 09:10J. Przybyla351311113D. Osvald2311750
J. Przybyla10
LSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481LSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292LSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113
D. Osvald10
WSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113WSep 8 · 17:00K. Baros1.909720D. Osvald1.801111113LSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 15:15D. Osvald1.577111051K. Baros2.2511512113WSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113LSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101
Upcoming Matches
J. Przybyla
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D. Osvald
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