TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145253
Played Sep 17Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11712106111012711
David Osvald
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · David Osvald below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Branny at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 1–1 David Osvald Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Branny 1519 vs Osvald 1464
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 40% vs Osvald 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Osvald 30%
Branny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny +1 · Osvald -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Branny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.73 / Osvald 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Branny)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13145253
Branny1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 57 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Osvald2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 10 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBranny1wins
AwayOsvald1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBrannyOsvaldB − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match46.043.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 337 vs 89 / 17251.6%51.7%174 / 337 vs 89 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyBranny 1.73/Osvald 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny4311138113D. Osvald358111151
LFeb 5 · 20:40D. Branny49119711112D. Osvald51711119133
D. Branny10
WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113LSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113LSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 13:40D. Branny1.8351112113M. Henzel1.831141071LSep 10 · 17:10D. Branny1.61751191L. Lasota2.2011119113WSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193
D. Osvald10
LSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971WSep 8 · 17:00K. Baros1.909720D. Osvald1.801111113LSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 15:15D. Osvald1.577111051K. Baros2.2511512113WSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113LSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101
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