TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139359
Played Sep 16Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119611811––
Lukas Dzida
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Branny 1510 vs Dzida 1557
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 60% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -1 · Dzida +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 2.00 / Dzida 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Dzida)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13139359
Branny2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 24 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Dzida1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 44 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 334 vs 112 / 20751.8%54.1%173 / 334 vs 112 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaBranny 2.00/Dzida 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dzida won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Branny10
LSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 13:40D. Branny1.8351112113M. Henzel1.831141071LSep 10 · 17:10D. Branny1.61751191L. Lasota2.2011119113WSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193LSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153LSep 7 · 20:10T. Molin1.571111113D. Branny2.253990WSep 7 · 19:10D. Branny2.101211113A. Cizek1.6710870LSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990
L. Dzida10
WSep 16 · 15:10M. Henzel2.00116891L. Dzida1.7371111113LSep 16 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73541191V. Konvicka2.0011114113WSep 16 · 12:40L. Dzida1.83581111123T. Kindl1.83111189102LSep 16 · 12:10M. Moravec1.831111133L. Dzida1.8399110WSep 16 · 11:10L. Dzida1.9111611113T. Kindl1.80711831LSep 16 · 09:40D. Pawlik1.6111118113L. Dzida2.20891171WSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113WSep 14 · 08:15L. Lasota2.005990L. Dzida1.731111113LSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123WSep 14 · 05:45D. Pawlik1.73811971L. Dzida2.0011511113
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