TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145286
Played Sep 17Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113114––––
Jan Przybyla
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Przybyla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 46 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jan Przybyla at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 14–18 Jan Przybyla Daniel Branny has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Przybyla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-18 in 32
Przybyla
Wrong
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1507 vs Przybyla 1429
Branny
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 20% vs Przybyla 40%
Przybyla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Przybyla 20%
Branny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -1 · Przybyla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przybyla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.83 / Przybyla 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przybyla)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13145286
Branny1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Przybyla1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBranny3wins
AwayPrzybyla7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrzybyla leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBranny75%3 of 4
AwayPrzybyla100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny4Przybyla6n = 10Przybyla took 6 of 10
S2Branny6Przybyla4n = 10Branny took 6 of 10
S3Branny6Przybyla4n = 10Branny took 6 of 10
S4Branny2Przybyla3n = 5Przybyla took 3 of 5
S5Branny0Przybyla4n = 4Przybyla took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrannyPrzybylaB − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.538.2−1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 338 vs 221 / 42951.5%51.5%174 / 338 vs 221 / 429Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaBranny 1.83/Przybyla 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 16:10D. Branny331111113J. Przybyla229940
WSep 1 · 20:45D. Branny331111113J. Przybyla208750
LSep 1 · 17:45D. Branny47611119102J. Przybyla48116811123
WAug 12 · 10:15D. Branny441617113J. Przybyla33141540
LJul 8 · 18:15D. Branny48117111272J. Przybyla51911614113
LJun 29 · 18:15D. Branny197750J. Przybyla331111113
LJun 21 · 18:10D. Branny167450J. Przybyla331111113
LMay 28 · 21:15D. Branny4571171372J. Przybyla511171111113
LMay 28 · 19:45D. Branny324511121J. Przybyla4511119143
LMay 25 · 15:45D. Branny4891191182J. Przybyla46116117113
D. Branny10
LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113LSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113LSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113LSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 13:40D. Branny1.8351112113M. Henzel1.831141071LSep 10 · 17:10D. Branny1.61751191L. Lasota2.2011119113WSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193LSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153
J. Przybyla10
LSep 17 · 20:50J. Przybyla1.83512661D. Osvald1.83111011113LSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481WSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971LSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292LSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133
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