TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145299
Played Sep 17Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113811114118––
Jan Przybyla
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 67 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 13–8 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Reska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-8 in 21
Reska
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1504 vs Przybyla 1438
Reska
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 20% vs Przybyla 40%
Przybyla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 40% vs Przybyla 20%
Reska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska -2 · Przybyla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.80 / Przybyla 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reska)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13145299
Reska1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 66 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Przybyla1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog48% won 42 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska5wins
AwayPrzybyla5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska75%3 of 4
AwayPrzybyla66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska4Przybyla6n = 10Przybyla took 6 of 10
S2Reska8Przybyla2n = 10Reska took 8 of 10
S3Reska5Przybyla5n = 10split evenly
S4Reska2Przybyla5n = 7Przybyla took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaPrzybylaR − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.035.1+1.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 493 vs 221 / 42850.5%51.6%249 / 493 vs 221 / 428Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.80/Przybyla 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 29 · 20:15V. Reska341211113J. Przybyla2510960
WJun 21 · 20:10V. Reska331111113J. Przybyla185940
WMay 28 · 17:45V. Reska47671112113J. Przybyla46111161082
WMay 25 · 21:15V. Reska341211113J. Przybyla2410770
LMay 25 · 19:15V. Reska3761110101J. Przybyla4211712123
WMay 24 · 19:15V. Reska4281111123J. Przybyla311146101
LMay 19 · 18:40V. Reska4211111191J. Przybyla4513813113
LMay 13 · 18:40V. Reska368116111J. Przybyla3711211133
LMay 5 · 20:15V. Reska33611791J. Przybyla4111811113
LApr 29 · 19:45V. Reska321192101J. Przybyla4281111123
V. Reska10
LSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133WSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113LSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102WSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113LSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191WSep 10 · 17:40V. Reska1.441113113T. Ogrocki2.6361180LSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340WSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971LSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292LSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580
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