Vladislav Reska vs Jakub Volny 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13120113

Played Sep 12Finished

Vladislav Reska

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1191177119111113

Jakub Volny

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Jakub Volny below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 11-13

Point 100 set 5, 11-13

100 points played in total.

H2H Vladislav Reska 3–5 Jakub Volny Vladislav Reska has won 3 of their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 3–5Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Reska beat Volny 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Reska)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Reska form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsReska 1.61 / Volny 2.20

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Reska)-0.4pp

TT Cup · #13120113

Reska1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite56% won 77 of 138

Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36

Up 1–0, closes it81% 56 of 69

Volny2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog44% won 47 of 108

Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58

Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeReska3wins

AwayVolny5wins

4 of 8 to a deciderVolny leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeReska75%3 of 4

AwayVolny100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Reska4Volny4n = 8split evenly

S2Reska2Volny6n = 8Volny took 6 of 8

S3Reska6Volny2n = 8Reska took 6 of 8

S4Reska1Volny5n = 6Volny took 5 of 6

S5Reska2Volny2n = 4split evenly

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home113%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home225%

2–3Decider, away225%

1–3Four sets, away225%

0–3Straight, away113%

These 8 meetings

MetricReskaVolnyR − VBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.140.0−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricReskaVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 491 vs 171 / 35550.7%48.2%249 / 491 vs 171 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Reska

Reska 1.61/Volny 2.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.3%

Reska · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Volny won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record8

WSep 12 · 12:15V. Reska331111113J. Volny216960

LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska4011115672J. Volny50981111113

LAug 29 · 07:40V. Reska216960J. Volny331111113

LAug 17 · 21:15V. Reska50910111192J. Volny41111252113

WAug 17 · 17:45V. Reska47114119123J. Volny50911911102

WJun 29 · 17:45V. Reska50118117133J. Volny46711611112

LApr 12 · 14:40V. Reska32491181J. Volny3911116113

LFeb 22 · 19:10V. Reska32681171J. Volny4011117113

V. Reska10

WSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113 LSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113 LSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102 WSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113 LSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113 WSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191 WSep 10 · 17:40V. Reska1.441113113T. Ogrocki2.6361180 LSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113 WSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113 WSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113

J. Volny10

LSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113 LSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida1.611111113J. Volny2.205870 LSep 12 · 10:15T. Lysek1.9116912113J. Volny1.8014111091 WSep 11 · 16:40J. Volny1.671111713113O. Skvor2.1085111572 WSep 11 · 15:40K. Baros1.7311178482J. Volny2.005151111113 WSep 11 · 15:10O. Skvor2.00512101182J. Volny1.731110126113 LSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123 WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140 WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981 WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.