TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13148753
Played Sep 17Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911117118116––
Vladislav Reska
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Daniel Branny at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 21–12 Vladislav Reska Vladislav Reska has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-12 in 33
Branny
Correct
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1517 vs Reska 1534
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 20% vs Reska 60%
Reska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Reska 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny +1 · Reska +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.83 / Reska 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Reska)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13148753
Branny1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Reska1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBranny6wins
AwayReska4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBranny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBranny83.3%5 of 6
AwayReska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny6Reska4n = 10Branny took 6 of 10
S2Branny4Reska6n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S3Branny7Reska3n = 10Branny took 7 of 10
S4Branny4Reska4n = 8split evenly
S5Branny2Reska2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrannyReskaB − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.3+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 339 vs 251 / 49551.6%50.7%175 / 339 vs 251 / 495Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaBranny 1.83/Reska 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny50117119123V. Reska41311611102
LAug 16 · 17:40D. Branny2771190V. Reska351113113
LJul 27 · 19:40D. Branny4211412692V. Reska452111011113
LJul 22 · 21:08D. Branny53101191852V. Reska581281116113
WJul 22 · 18:40D. Branny351111133V. Reska2348110
WJun 29 · 19:15D. Branny4951714133V. Reska49111512111
LJun 21 · 20:35D. Branny336111061V. Reska3811412113
WJun 21 · 19:10D. Branny3811511113V. Reska28611741
WJun 18 · 18:15D. Branny44111012113V. Reska367121071
WJun 14 · 19:40D. Branny48118117113V. Reska4061131192
D. Branny10
WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113LSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113LSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 13:40D. Branny1.8351112113M. Henzel1.831141071LSep 10 · 17:10D. Branny1.61751191L. Lasota2.2011119113WSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182
V. Reska10
WSep 17 · 20:15D. Osvald1.67712891V. Reska2.10111011113WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481LSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133WSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113LSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102WSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113LSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191
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