TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152647
Played Sep 18Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113411611––––
Vladislav Reska
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:44 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 59.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 9–14 Vladislav Reska Jan Przybyla has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Reska
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1408 vs Reska 1470
Reska
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 0% vs Reska 40%
Reska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 20% vs Reska 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -5 · Reska -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 2.00 / Reska 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Reska)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13152647
Przybyla2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 42 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Reska1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 66 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzybyla4wins
AwayReska6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybyla66.7%4 of 6
AwayReska100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla6Reska4n = 10Przybyla took 6 of 10
S2Przybyla3Reska7n = 10Reska took 7 of 10
S3Przybyla4Reska6n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S4Przybyla3Reska3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzybylaReskaP − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.737.0−4.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 433 vs 251 / 49751%50.5%221 / 433 vs 251 / 497Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaPrzybyla 2.00/Reska 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 19:15J. Przybyla26311481V. Reska4111811113
WJun 29 · 21:15J. Przybyla331111113V. Reska246990
LJun 29 · 20:15J. Przybyla2510960V. Reska341211113
LJun 21 · 20:10J. Przybyla185940V. Reska331111113
LMay 28 · 17:45J. Przybyla46111161082V. Reska47671112113
LMay 25 · 21:15J. Przybyla2410770V. Reska341211113
WMay 25 · 19:15J. Przybyla4211712123V. Reska3761110101
LMay 24 · 19:15J. Przybyla311146101V. Reska4281111123
WMay 19 · 18:40J. Przybyla4513813113V. Reska4211111191
WMay 13 · 18:40J. Przybyla3711211133V. Reska368116111
J. Przybyla10
WSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123LSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271LSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 17 · 20:50J. Przybyla1.83512661D. Osvald1.83111011113LSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481WSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971LSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113
V. Reska10
LSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123LSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113LSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100LSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 20:15D. Osvald1.67712891V. Reska2.10111011113WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481LSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133WSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113
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