TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152655
Played Sep 18Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811311511––
Tomas Molin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 67 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 5–13 Tomas Molin Vladislav Reska has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Molin
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1482 vs Molin 1479
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 40% vs Molin 60%
Molin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 40% vs Molin 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska -2 · Molin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 2.00 / Molin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molin)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13152655
Reska2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 54 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Molin1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 47 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska2wins
AwayMolin8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska25%1 of 4
AwayMolin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska4Molin6n = 10Molin took 6 of 10
S2Reska5Molin5n = 10split evenly
S3Reska4Molin6n = 10Molin took 6 of 10
S4Reska2Molin6n = 8Molin took 6 of 8
S5Reska1Molin3n = 4Molin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaMolinR − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.241.4−4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 496 vs 151 / 29150.6%51.9%251 / 496 vs 151 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinReska 2.00/Molin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 19:10V. Reska33117871T. Molin3741111113
LJul 30 · 06:10V. Reska49910141152T. Molin551112129113
WJul 29 · 11:40V. Reska331111113T. Molin206680
LJul 20 · 17:15V. Reska381181451T. Molin4461116113
WJul 20 · 15:45V. Reska45611116113T. Molin3811461162
LJul 19 · 12:38V. Reska377118111T. Molin4211711133
LJul 19 · 11:40V. Reska228860T. Molin331111113
LJun 28 · 10:45V. Reska4181141352T. Molin521181111113
LJun 14 · 20:40V. Reska4212611582T. Molin521011911113
LJun 14 · 18:10V. Reska32511881T. Molin4111811113
V. Reska10
WSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100LSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 20:15D. Osvald1.67712891V. Reska2.10111011113WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481LSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133WSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113LSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102
T. Molin10
WSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113WSep 18 · 16:15T. Molin2.101111911113K. Baros1.6771311652WSep 18 · 14:45A. Cizek1.4461111782T. Molin2.63118711113LSep 18 · 14:15M. Moravec1.3381114113T. Molin3.251181281LSep 17 · 16:45A. Cizek1.501112113T. Molin2.5051070LSep 17 · 16:10T. Molin2.38131191162K. Baros1.53156117113LSep 17 · 14:40A. Cizek1.801211113T. Molin1.9110780LSep 17 · 14:10M. Moravec1.501111113T. Molin2.507870
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