TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152501
Played Sep 18Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111181412118––
Tomas Molin
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 80.1% is still 80.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Moravec to win
80.1%
80.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Moravec at 80.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 1–0 Tomas Molin Tomas Molin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1631 vs Molin 1442
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 100% vs Molin 0%
Moravec
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 100% vs Molin 20%
Moravec
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +10 · Molin -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.33 / Molin 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Moravec)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13152501
Moravec1.33
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 32 of 44
Molin3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 16 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoravec1wins
AwayMolin0wins
Moravec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMoravecMolinMoravec − MolinBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 381 vs 147 / 28650.7%51.4%193 / 381 vs 147 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.33/Molin 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 14:10M. Moravec331111113T. Molin227870
M. Moravec10
LSep 18 · 15:45A. Cizek2.751411113M. Moravec1.4012730LSep 18 · 15:15K. Baros2.6311128113M. Moravec1.449101181WSep 17 · 17:15M. Moravec1.5011119113K. Baros2.50981151WSep 17 · 15:40A. Cizek2.505118111M. Moravec1.5011811133WSep 17 · 15:10K. Baros2.50911781M. Moravec1.5011711113WSep 17 · 14:10M. Moravec1.501111113T. Molin2.507870WSep 16 · 13:10M. Moravec1.731112123D. Pawlik2.00710100WSep 16 · 12:10M. Moravec1.831111133L. Dzida1.8399110WSep 16 · 10:40D. Pawlik1.8314960M. Moravec1.831611113WSep 16 · 10:10T. Kindl1.57791191M. Moravec2.2511117113
T. Molin10
WSep 18 · 16:15T. Molin2.101111911113K. Baros1.6771311652WSep 18 · 14:45A. Cizek1.4461111782T. Molin2.63118711113LSep 17 · 16:45A. Cizek1.501112113T. Molin2.5051070LSep 17 · 16:10T. Molin2.38131191162K. Baros1.53156117113LSep 17 · 14:40A. Cizek1.801211113T. Molin1.9110780LSep 17 · 14:10M. Moravec1.501111113T. Molin2.507870LSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131WSep 7 · 20:10T. Molin1.571111113D. Branny2.253990LSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361LSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7312119123T. Molin2.0010711101
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