TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13147616
Played Sep 17Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210117––––
Tomas Molin
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7
56 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 3–1 Tomas Molin Tomas Molin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.50 / Molin 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Cizek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13147616
Cizek1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 43 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Molin2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 16 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeCizek3wins
AwayMolin1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderCizek leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek2Molin2n = 4split evenly
S2Cizek2Molin2n = 4split evenly
S3Cizek3Molin1n = 4Cizek took 3 of 4
S4Cizek3Molin1n = 4Cizek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricCizekMolinC − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.539.2+5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 476 vs 147 / 28447.3%51.8%225 / 476 vs 147 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.50/Molin 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek4412119123T. Molin3810711101
WFeb 4 · 18:40A. Cizek4111811113T. Molin28811541
LJan 9 · 22:25A. Cizek4489111152T. Molin48111196113
WJan 9 · 19:40A. Cizek49811118113T. Molin4311681172
A. Cizek10
LSep 17 · 15:40A. Cizek2.505118111M. Moravec1.5011811133WSep 17 · 14:40A. Cizek1.801211113T. Molin1.9110780LSep 17 · 13:40A. Cizek1.675811121K. Baros2.1011116143LSep 16 · 20:38D. Stusek1.574111116113A. Cizek2.2511781832WSep 16 · 20:15I. Heuman1.7338100A. Cizek2.001111123LSep 16 · 19:15A. Cizek2.20136112102A. Kanak1.611111811123LSep 16 · 17:45D. Stusek1.61381111113A. Cizek2.2011119392LSep 8 · 20:45A. Cizek1.9111117492J. Lisztwan1.80581111113LSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970WSep 8 · 19:15A. Cizek2.381141111113J. Lisztwan1.5371151372
T. Molin10
LSep 17 · 16:10T. Molin2.38131191162K. Baros1.53156117113LSep 17 · 14:40A. Cizek1.801211113T. Molin1.9110780LSep 17 · 14:10M. Moravec1.501111113T. Molin2.507870LSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131WSep 7 · 20:10T. Molin1.571111113D. Branny2.253990LSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361LSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7312119123T. Molin2.0010711101LSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172WSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.