TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152651
Played Sep 18Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Tomas Molin
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Branny at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 2–9 Tomas Molin Daniel Branny has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:46What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Molin
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1542 vs Molin 1491
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 80% vs Molin 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 60% vs Molin 40%
Branny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny +4 · Molin +2
Branny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Molin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 2.25 / Molin 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Molin)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13152651
Branny2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 24 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Molin1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 47 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBranny2wins
AwayMolin8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrannyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMolin88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny1Molin9n = 10Molin took 9 of 10
S2Branny7Molin3n = 10Branny took 7 of 10
S3Branny3Molin7n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S4Branny1Molin7n = 8Molin took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrannyMolinB − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match34.139.8−5.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 341 vs 152 / 29252.2%52.1%178 / 341 vs 152 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinBranny 2.25/Molin 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 20:10D. Branny213990T. Molin331111113
LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny22311351T. Molin4111811113
LAug 16 · 20:44D. Branny4211119111T. Molin4513811133
WAug 16 · 19:40D. Branny47611811113T. Molin4711911882
LJul 31 · 19:15D. Branny35811971T. Molin4211911113
LJul 21 · 18:45D. Branny31611681T. Molin4011711113
LJul 8 · 19:45D. Branny411451481T. Molin50161112113
LJul 6 · 18:10D. Branny334111081T. Molin4211812113
WJun 14 · 18:40D. Branny331111113T. Molin195680
LMar 4 · 15:40D. Branny367121161T. Molin3911143113
D. Branny10
WSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113LSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113LSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113
T. Molin10
LSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113WSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113WSep 18 · 16:15T. Molin2.101111911113K. Baros1.6771311652WSep 18 · 14:45A. Cizek1.4461111782T. Molin2.63118711113LSep 18 · 14:15M. Moravec1.3381114113T. Molin3.251181281LSep 17 · 16:45A. Cizek1.501112113T. Molin2.5051070LSep 17 · 16:10T. Molin2.38131191162K. Baros1.53156117113LSep 17 · 14:40A. Cizek1.801211113T. Molin1.9110780
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