TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156265
Played Sep 18Finished
Tomas Molin
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1178111214911––
Daniel Branny
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 10–2 Daniel Branny Daniel Branny has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Molin beat Branny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.44 / Branny 2.63
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Molin)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13156265
Molin1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 47 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Branny2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 24 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolin8wins
AwayBranny2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolin88.9%8 of 9
AwayBrannyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin9Branny1n = 10Molin took 9 of 10
S2Molin3Branny7n = 10Branny took 7 of 10
S3Molin8Branny2n = 10Molin took 8 of 10
S4Molin6Branny1n = 7Molin took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolinBrannyM − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.232.4+6.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 293 vs 178 / 34252.2%52.1%153 / 293 vs 178 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.44/Branny 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 19:45T. Molin331111113D. Branny196670
WSep 7 · 20:10T. Molin331111113D. Branny213990
WAug 19 · 19:45T. Molin4111811113D. Branny22311351
WAug 16 · 20:44T. Molin4513811133D. Branny4211119111
LAug 16 · 19:40T. Molin4711911882D. Branny47611811113
WJul 31 · 19:15T. Molin4211911113D. Branny35811971
WJul 21 · 18:45T. Molin4011711113D. Branny31611681
WJul 8 · 19:45T. Molin50161112113D. Branny411451481
WJul 6 · 18:10T. Molin4211812113D. Branny334111081
LJun 14 · 18:40T. Molin195680D. Branny331111113
T. Molin10
WSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113WSep 18 · 16:15T. Molin2.101111911113K. Baros1.6771311652WSep 18 · 14:45A. Cizek1.4461111782T. Molin2.63118711113LSep 18 · 14:15M. Moravec1.3381114113T. Molin3.251181281LSep 17 · 16:45A. Cizek1.501112113T. Molin2.5051070LSep 17 · 16:10T. Molin2.38131191162K. Baros1.53156117113LSep 17 · 14:40A. Cizek1.801211113T. Molin1.9110780
D. Branny10
LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113LSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113LSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.