TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13161667
Played Sep 19Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185113111012––
Michal Janik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Michal Janik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 71 set 4, 10-12
71 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 5–3 Michal Janik Michal Janik has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zeman beat Janik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.80 / Janik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zeman)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13161667
Zeman1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 69 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 52 of 69
Janik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwayJanik3wins
5 of 8 to a deciderZeman leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman60%3 of 5
AwayJanik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman5Janik3n = 8Zeman took 5 of 8
S2Zeman4Janik4n = 8split evenly
S3Zeman3Janik5n = 8Janik took 5 of 8
S4Zeman3Janik4n = 7Janik took 4 of 7
S5Zeman4Janik1n = 5Zeman took 4 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home450%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricZemanJanikZ − JBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match41.842.2−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanJanikBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 321 vs 126 / 28156.1%44.8%180 / 321 vs 126 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.80/Janik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Janik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 19:45K. Zeman491051111123M. Janik49121179102
LAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman35711981M. Janik4111811113
WAug 27 · 18:10K. Zeman45111148113M. Janik4569111182
LAug 23 · 07:10K. Zeman4011931162M. Janik40511112113
LJun 6 · 10:15K. Zeman28128441M. Janik43101111113
WJun 6 · 09:25K. Zeman529111011113M. Janik4611712882
WJun 6 · 06:45K. Zeman341211113M. Janik2410590
WApr 8 · 14:10K. Zeman51149116113M. Janik50121181182
K. Zeman10
WSep 19 · 19:45K. Zeman2.101051111123M. Janik1.67121179102WSep 19 · 18:45K. Zeman2.10101111113O. Skvor1.67129661WSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090WSep 16 · 21:05O. Kus2.046890K. Zeman1.661111113LSep 16 · 19:40K. Zeman1.53911841O. Kus2.3811511113WSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371WSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 14 · 20:48K. Zeman1.445960O. Kus2.631111113WSep 14 · 19:45K. Zeman1.4481111113O. Kus2.63118891LSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113
M. Janik10
LSep 19 · 19:45K. Zeman2.101051111123M. Janik1.67121179102WSep 19 · 19:15J. Vanous2.0011611862M. Janik1.73911911113WSep 19 · 18:15M. Janik2.001111113O. Skvor1.737390LSep 19 · 17:15M. Janik2.259780A. Drozd1.571111113WSep 19 · 15:45A. Drozd1.57119591M. Janik2.2581111113LSep 19 · 15:15T. Ogrocki1.83661111113M. Janik1.8311117772WSep 19 · 14:15M. Janik2.1011816113O. Skvor1.676111491WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152
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