TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 15Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 15
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012115711211––
Vladislav Reska
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 69 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 6–3 Vladislav Reska Vladislav Reska has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Reska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Jokiel
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1252 vs Reska 1445
Reska
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 0% vs Reska 20%
Reska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 0% vs Reska 30%
Reska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel -15 · Reska -2
Jokiel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 2.38 / Reska 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Reska)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13164519
Jokiel2.38
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 15
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog47% won 73 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back36% 26 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Reska1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 67 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 49 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJokiel6wins
AwayReska3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderJokiel leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJokiel75%3 of 4
AwayReska40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jokiel4Reska5n = 9Reska took 5 of 9
S2Jokiel6Reska3n = 9Jokiel took 6 of 9
S3Jokiel4Reska5n = 9Reska took 5 of 9
S4Jokiel5Reska2n = 7Jokiel took 5 of 7
S5Jokiel2Reska1n = 3Jokiel took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricJokielReskaJ − RBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match39.436.7+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 446 vs 252 / 50045.5%50.4%203 / 446 vs 252 / 500Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaJokiel 2.38/Reska 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 5 · 10:40P. Jokiel4479111162V. Reska48111178113
LJul 23 · 13:40P. Jokiel3316980V. Reska401811113
WJul 5 · 10:40P. Jokiel45611611113V. Reska4711911792
WApr 3 · 06:40P. Jokiel45121111113V. Reska35146781
WJan 4 · 21:55P. Jokiel4781117113V. Reska351151541
LJan 4 · 18:45P. Jokiel27116551V. Reska4291111113
WDec 25 · 21:45P. Jokiel3611113113V. Reska27851131
WDec 25 · 20:15P. Jokiel331111113V. Reska153750
WDec 24 · 11:10P. Jokiel45111157113V. Reska4158111162
P. Jokiel10
LSep 20 · 13:40A. Drozd1.40514119113P. Jokiel2.75111291132LSep 17 · 20:40M. Dolezal1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91311431LSep 17 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.107101151T. Ogrocki1.6711127113LSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel1.61751131R. Benesz2.2011119113LSep 17 · 17:40P. Jokiel1.73381261M. Dolezal2.00111110113LSep 17 · 08:45J. Matus1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91411761LSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113LSep 17 · 06:40P. Jokiel1.838470J. Sindler1.831111113LSep 17 · 05:40P. Jokiel1.5771350J. Matus2.251115113LSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370
V. Reska10
WSep 20 · 15:40A. Drozd2.101011771V. Reska1.6712511113LSep 20 · 14:10V. Reska1.578611101O. Kus2.2511118123LSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123WSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113LSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100LSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 20:15D. Osvald1.67712891V. Reska2.10111011113WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481LSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102
Upcoming Matches
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