TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118411113113––
Pavel Vinansky
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePavel Vinansky to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Precek above · Pavel Vinansky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 62 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 56.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 1–0 Pavel Vinansky Pavel Vinansky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vinansky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Precek 1554 vs Vinansky 1558
Vinansky
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 40% vs Vinansky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 30% vs Vinansky 50%
Vinansky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek +2 · Vinansky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinansky) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinansky form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.00 / Vinansky 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vinansky)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13169078
Precek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Vinansky1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite77% won 34 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrecek1wins
AwayVinansky0wins
Precek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPrecekVinanskyP − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.025.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekVinanskyBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 475 vs 67 / 11446.7%58.8%222 / 475 vs 67 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyPrecek 2.00/Vinansky 1.73
Miss
What we said
54%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 21 · 18:45E. Precek3711411113P. Vinansky25811331
E. Precek10
LSep 21 · 19:45E. Precek2.0051161172A. Kanak1.73119118113WSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 19 · 08:40D. Vitasek1.807111131E. Precek1.9111913113LSep 19 · 08:10D. Vitasek1.831111113E. Precek1.837840LSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133LSep 19 · 05:40F. Chaloupka1.53111197113E. Precek2.3859111192WSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113LSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor1.8351111123E. Precek1.831189101LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123
P. Vinansky10
LSep 21 · 18:15A. Kanak2.001191011113P. Vinansky1.7391112472WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750WAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101WAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
E. Precek
Nothing scheduled
P. Vinansky
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