TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119611118711
Adam Kanak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Precek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.5%
90 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Precek 1554 vs Kanak 1578
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 60% vs Kanak 40%
Precek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 40% vs Kanak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek +3 · Kanak -1
Precek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.00 / Kanak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Kanak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13169080
Precek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Kanak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 34 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 475 vs 73 / 12846.7%57%222 / 475 vs 73 / 128Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakPrecek 2.00/Kanak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Precek10
WSep 21 · 18:45E. Precek2.0011411113P. Vinansky1.73811331WSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 19 · 08:40D. Vitasek1.807111131E. Precek1.9111913113LSep 19 · 08:10D. Vitasek1.831111113E. Precek1.837840LSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133LSep 19 · 05:40F. Chaloupka1.53111197113E. Precek2.3859111192WSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113LSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor1.8351111123E. Precek1.831189101LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123
A. Kanak10
LSep 21 · 19:15D. Branny2.501111113A. Kanak1.507960WSep 21 · 18:15A. Kanak2.001191011113P. Vinansky1.7391112472WSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041LSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450LSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680WSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113
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