TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119116––––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Adam Kanak at 68.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 1–5 Adam Kanak Daniel Branny has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Kanak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1526 vs Kanak 1594
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 60% vs Kanak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 60% vs Kanak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -1 · Kanak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 2.50 / Kanak 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kanak)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13168659
Branny2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Kanak1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 34 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBranny1wins
AwayKanak5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderKanak leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBranny25%1 of 4
AwayKanakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny4Kanak2n = 6Branny took 4 of 6
S2Branny2Kanak4n = 6Kanak took 4 of 6
S3Branny2Kanak4n = 6Kanak took 4 of 6
S4Branny1Kanak2n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S5Branny0Kanak3n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricBrannyKanakB − KBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.238.5−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 344 vs 73 / 12752%57.5%179 / 344 vs 73 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakBranny 2.50/Kanak 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 7 · 17:40D. Branny224990A. Kanak331111113
LSep 1 · 20:15D. Branny29109100A. Kanak351211123
LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny4511119772A. Kanak49791111113
WAug 4 · 13:15D. Branny331111113A. Kanak177550
LAug 4 · 12:10D. Branny49111391152A. Kanak50715116113
LJul 21 · 18:15D. Branny45114118112A. Kanak47811411133
D. Branny10
LSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113
A. Kanak10
WSep 21 · 19:45E. Precek2.0051161172A. Kanak1.73119118113WSep 21 · 18:15A. Kanak2.001191011113P. Vinansky1.7391112472WSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041LSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450LSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680WSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113
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