TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151113113114––
Daniel Branny
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Precek above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Branny at 61.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 0–1 Daniel Branny Erik Precek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Precek 1516 vs Branny 1538
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 40% vs Branny 80%
Branny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 30% vs Branny 60%
Branny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek +1 · Branny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Branny) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.00 / Branny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Branny)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13168339
Precek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Branny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 60 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrecek0wins
AwayBranny1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBranny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPrecekBrannyP − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match38.044.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 473 vs 179 / 34346.5%52.2%220 / 473 vs 179 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyPrecek 2.00/Branny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 10 · 07:40E. Precek3873111162D. Branny44111165113
E. Precek10
WSep 19 · 08:40D. Vitasek1.807111131E. Precek1.9111913113LSep 19 · 08:10D. Vitasek1.831111113E. Precek1.837840LSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133LSep 19 · 05:40F. Chaloupka1.53111197113E. Precek2.3859111192WSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113LSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor1.8351111123E. Precek1.831189101LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 17 · 12:43E. Precek1.916880D. Pawlik1.801111113WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192
D. Branny10
WSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 18:45D. Branny1.73111261072D. Osvald2.007101112113WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny1.73117119123V. Reska2.00311611102LSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113LSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113
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