TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111210118811411
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 61.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 13–7 Mykhailo Potapov Mykhailo Potapov has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Parahailo
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-7 in 20
Parahailo
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1567 vs Potapov 1532
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 20% vs Potapov 40%
Potapov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 60% vs Potapov 30%
Parahailo
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo -4 · Potapov -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Parahailo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 1.61 / Potapov 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Parahailo)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166222
Parahailo1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it76% 66 of 87
Potapov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 48 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo7wins
AwayPotapov3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderParahailo leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo100%7 of 7
AwayPotapov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo7Potapov3n = 10Parahailo took 7 of 10
S2Parahailo3Potapov7n = 10Potapov took 7 of 10
S3Parahailo8Potapov2n = 10Parahailo took 8 of 10
S4Parahailo5Potapov4n = 9Parahailo took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoPotapovParahailo − PotapovBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.135.3+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 800 vs 203 / 42950.4%47.3%403 / 800 vs 203 / 429Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoParahailo 1.61/Potapov 2.20
Miss
What we said
61.2%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Potapov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 02:30Y. Parahailo3711411113M. Potapov28511481
WAug 12 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4111811113M. Potapov33811681
WAug 10 · 22:00Y. Parahailo4311911123M. Potapov284113101
WJul 31 · 16:25Y. Parahailo43111011113M. Potapov33612781
WJan 2 · 09:05Y. Parahailo4011117113M. Potapov33761191
LJan 1 · 14:35Y. Parahailo361011691M. Potapov4312911113
WJan 1 · 24:30Y. Parahailo46116117113M. Potapov4471161192
WOct 27 · 19:35Y. Parahailo341112113M. Potapov2571080
LJul 28 · 05:35Y. Parahailo3610101151M. Potapov4012125113
LApr 8 · 15:05Y. Parahailo4511141191M. Potapov4613166113
Y. Parahailo10
LSep 21 · 15:25I. Pytsko2.25129711113Y. Parahailo1.57101111382LSep 21 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.6361111163Y. Parahailo1.441187141LSep 21 · 12:25D. Maltsev1.83129911113Y. Parahailo1.83101111982LSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113WSep 20 · 16:35R. Novak1.8389121192Y. Parahailo1.831111107113WSep 20 · 15:35Y. Parahailo1.801011911103D. Shchegelskyi1.9112511762WSep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.63611171142Y. Parahailo1.44117199113WSep 20 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.9111411123Y. Tebenko1.809119101WSep 20 · 03:00R. Novak1.83881291Y. Parahailo1.83111110113WSep 20 · 01:30Y. Parahailo1.6711616133D. Shchegelskyi2.1061114111
M. Potapov10
WSep 21 · 18:25I. Pytsko1.616111081M. Potapov2.2011912113LSep 21 · 15:55D. Maltsev1.8391111113M. Potapov1.83115951LSep 21 · 13:55O. Storozhenko1.5011126113M. Potapov2.505101191LSep 21 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011101110113M. Potapov1.7361281282WSep 21 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.8379100M. Potapov1.831111123WSep 21 · 01:45M. Potapov2.10511119113I. Pytsko1.6711791152LSep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.831111113M. Potapov1.837980LSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:45V. Korobko3.50101112113M. Potapov1.281281061WSep 12 · 02:15M. Potapov1.80821111113Y. Tebenko1.9111118992
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