TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155727
Played Sep 20Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11661116141311––
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 88 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 56.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 61–53 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 53 of their 114 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Parahailo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-53 in 114
Parahailo
Correct
gap of 8 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1560 vs Shchegelskyi 1571
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 20% vs Shchegelskyi 40%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 20% vs Shchegelskyi 40%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo -3 · Shchegelskyi +2
Parahailo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Parahailo) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 1.67 / Shchegelskyi 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Parahailo)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155727
Parahailo1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite59% won 87 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it75% 64 of 85
Shchegelskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo8wins
AwayShchegelskyi2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderParahailo leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo100%8 of 8
AwayShchegelskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo8Shchegelskyi2n = 10Parahailo took 8 of 10
S2Parahailo10Shchegelskyi0n = 10Parahailo took 10 of 10
S3Parahailo4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S4Parahailo3Shchegelskyi4n = 7Shchegelskyi took 4 of 7
S5Parahailo2Shchegelskyi1n = 3Parahailo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoShchegelskyiP − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.333.9+6.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 798 vs 474 / 91550.3%51.8%401 / 798 vs 474 / 915Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoParahailo 1.67/Shchegelskyi 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Parahailo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 15:35Y. Parahailo48111196113D. Shchegelskyi4559111192
WJul 27 · 09:35Y. Parahailo3311110113D. Shchegelskyi30761161
WJul 26 · 14:05Y. Parahailo341211113D. Shchegelskyi2410680
LJul 26 · 24:30Y. Parahailo4011127101D. Shchegelskyi46131011123
WJul 19 · 16:05Y. Parahailo331111113D. Shchegelskyi228860
WJul 18 · 21:00Y. Parahailo331111113D. Shchegelskyi155730
WJun 1 · 11:35Y. Parahailo3511112113D. Shchegelskyi32981141
LMay 31 · 18:35Y. Parahailo4681111972D. Shchegelskyi45117511113
WMay 30 · 22:00Y. Parahailo4911189113D. Shchegelskyi377161131
WMay 25 · 06:35Y. Parahailo521111109113D. Shchegelskyi4397121142
Y. Parahailo10
WSep 20 · 03:00R. Novak1.83881291Y. Parahailo1.83111110113LSep 19 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.63129119113Y. Parahailo1.44101141172LSep 19 · 21:30Y. Tebenko1.83116711123Y. Parahailo1.83911114102LSep 19 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.251111113Y. Parahailo3.759780WSep 14 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4.003141011133M. Khomenko1.221112128112LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.5059111172V. Kovalchuk2.50111172113WSep 14 · 07:35Y. Parahailo2.001311113Y. Tebenko1.7311190LSep 14 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.633870O. Rodin1.441111113LSep 14 · 04:35Y. Parahailo2.2512790Y. Vorsuliak1.571411113LSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.7571190M. Khomenko1.251113103
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 20 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.10118511113D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111872WSep 20 · 24:00M. Khomenko2.10113891D. Shchegelskyi1.6751111113WSep 19 · 22:00R. Novak2.101211971D. Shchegelskyi1.6714111113LSep 19 · 20:00Y. Tebenko2.10118611113D. Shchegelskyi1.6781111942LSep 18 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2558110Y. Vorsuliak1.571111133LSep 18 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.441111113D. Shchegelskyi2.639850LSep 18 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi3.251241041V. Slozka1.33101112113LSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281LSep 17 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.0012106101V. Slozka1.36101211123
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