TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126468
Played Sep 14Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511911117112711
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Vladyslav Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 85 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 63.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 73–43 Vladyslav Kovalchuk Vladyslav Kovalchuk has won 43 of their 116 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Parahailo
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-43 in 116
Parahailo
Wrong
gap of 30 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1556 vs Kovalchuk 1470
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 20% vs Kovalchuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 40% vs Kovalchuk 10%
Parahailo
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo +1 · Kovalchuk -4
Kovalchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Parahailo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 1.50 / Kovalchuk 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Parahailo)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126468
Parahailo1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 89 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 66 of 87
Kovalchuk2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 98 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo10wins
AwayKovalchuk0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderParahailo leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo100%6 of 6
AwayKovalchuk0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo6Kovalchuk4n = 10Parahailo took 6 of 10
S2Parahailo10Kovalchuk0n = 10Parahailo took 10 of 10
S3Parahailo5Kovalchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Parahailo6Kovalchuk1n = 7Parahailo took 6 of 7
S5Parahailo3Kovalchuk0n = 3Parahailo took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoKovalchukP − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.832.3+9.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 810 vs 372 / 78550.1%47.4%406 / 810 vs 372 / 785Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoParahailo 1.50/Kovalchuk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 13:05Y. Parahailo4011117113V. Kovalchuk33591181
WSep 13 · 02:30Y. Parahailo4171211113V. Kovalchuk301110451
WAug 24 · 09:05Y. Parahailo331111113V. Kovalchuk208570
WAug 23 · 14:35Y. Parahailo48612811113V. Kovalchuk47111011872
WAug 23 · 24:30Y. Parahailo528111012113V. Kovalchuk46117121062
WAug 19 · 10:35Y. Parahailo371511113V. Kovalchuk2513480
WAug 18 · 12:05Y. Parahailo331111113V. Kovalchuk173590
WAug 15 · 02:30Y. Parahailo4011117113V. Kovalchuk34871181
WAug 11 · 16:05Y. Parahailo4291111113V. Kovalchuk27119341
WAug 7 · 11:55Y. Parahailo521111910113V. Kovalchuk4469111262
Y. Parahailo10
WSep 14 · 07:35Y. Parahailo2.001311113Y. Tebenko1.7311190LSep 14 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.633870O. Rodin1.441111113LSep 14 · 04:35Y. Parahailo2.2512790Y. Vorsuliak1.571411113LSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.7571190M. Khomenko1.251113103LSep 13 · 17:05Y. Kolos1.361111113Y. Parahailo3.006870LSep 13 · 15:05R. Novak1.831461110113Y. Parahailo1.83121191292LSep 13 · 14:05Y. Parahailo2.388980O. Rodin1.531111113WSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113WSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113WSep 13 · 01:30O. Rodin1.5096111142Y. Parahailo2.50111143113
V. Kovalchuk10
LSep 14 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.6391111782O. Rodin1.44119911113LSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371LSep 14 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.67135641Y. Tebenko2.10111111113LSep 13 · 18:35V. Kovalchuk2.63471131O. Rodin1.4411119113WSep 13 · 16:35R. Novak1.53891191V. Kovalchuk2.3811114113LSep 13 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk1.837860M. Khomenko1.83111193LSep 13 · 14:35Y. Kolos1.83913814123V. Kovalchuk1.8311111112102LSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113LSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113LSep 13 · 24:30Y. Tebenko2.20261111113V. Kovalchuk1.6111115872
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