TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121771
Played Sep 13Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118117––––
Yurii Parahailo
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Kolos to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Yurii Kolos at 66.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 5–1 Yurii Parahailo Yurii Parahailo has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Kolos
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1488 vs Parahailo 1587
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 20% vs Parahailo 60%
Parahailo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 20% vs Parahailo 60%
Parahailo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -1 · Parahailo -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kolos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.36 / Parahailo 3.00
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kolos)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13121771
Kolos1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite54% won 14 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Parahailo3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 66 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKolos5wins
AwayParahailo1wins
Kolos leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos100%4 of 4
AwayParahailon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos4Parahailo2n = 6Kolos took 4 of 6
S2Kolos5Parahailo1n = 6Kolos took 5 of 6
S3Kolos5Parahailo1n = 6Kolos took 5 of 6
S4Kolos2Parahailo1n = 3Kolos took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKolosParahailoK − PBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match33.826.2+7.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 110 vs 406 / 81045.5%50.1%50 / 110 vs 406 / 810Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.36/Parahailo 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos33871171Y. Parahailo4111118113
WJul 27 · 05:05Y. Kolos331111113Y. Parahailo166370
WJul 26 · 12:05Y. Kolos4291111113Y. Parahailo29115761
WJul 19 · 14:05Y. Kolos351311113Y. Parahailo2611870
WFeb 16 · 09:35Y. Kolos3611113113Y. Parahailo31591161
WFeb 15 · 14:35Y. Kolos24111123Y. Parahailo148600
Y. Kolos10
LSep 13 · 16:05Y. Kolos2.108860O. Rodin1.67111162WSep 13 · 14:35Y. Kolos1.83913814123V. Kovalchuk1.8311111112102LSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133LSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680
Y. Parahailo10
LSep 13 · 15:05R. Novak1.831461110113Y. Parahailo1.83121191292LSep 13 · 14:05Y. Parahailo2.388980O. Rodin1.531111113WSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113WSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113WSep 13 · 01:30O. Rodin1.5096111142Y. Parahailo2.50111143113LSep 13 · 24:00M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Parahailo3.505760WSep 12 · 22:00R. Novak1.8061110101Y. Parahailo1.9111512123LSep 12 · 20:00Y. Tebenko1.831111113Y. Parahailo1.837470WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840WAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Kolos
Nothing scheduled
Y. Parahailo
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