TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122127
Played Sep 13Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911131181114121210
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Kovalchuk to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Vladyslav Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 111 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vladyslav Kovalchuk at 54.7%
111 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 3–5 Vladyslav Kovalchuk Yurii Kolos has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kovalchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Kovalchuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1491 vs Kovalchuk 1515
Kovalchuk
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 20% vs Kovalchuk 0%
Kolos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Kovalchuk 10%
Kolos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -3 · Kovalchuk -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolos) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.83 / Kovalchuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolos)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122127
Kolos1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kovalchuk1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKolos3wins
AwayKovalchuk5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos66.7%2 of 3
AwayKovalchuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos3Kovalchuk5n = 8Kovalchuk took 5 of 8
S2Kolos1Kovalchuk7n = 8Kovalchuk took 7 of 8
S3Kolos6Kovalchuk2n = 8Kolos took 6 of 8
S4Kolos4Kovalchuk4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKolosKovalchukKolos − KovalchukBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match37.940.8−2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 108 vs 373 / 78345.4%47.6%49 / 108 vs 373 / 783Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.83/Kovalchuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJun 21 · 18:35Y. Kolos31681161V. Kovalchuk3811115113
WJun 14 · 13:05Y. Kolos47911511113V. Kovalchuk4311711772
LMar 9 · 09:35Y. Kolos29691131V. Kovalchuk4111118113
WMar 8 · 17:05Y. Kolos4111811113V. Kovalchuk37911891
LDec 29 · 09:35Y. Kolos4777141272V. Kovalchuk5511111210113
LDec 28 · 17:05Y. Kolos37991181V. Kovalchuk4111118113
WDec 22 · 09:35Y. Kolos43111011113V. Kovalchuk31612851
LDec 21 · 17:05Y. Kolos28114581V. Kovalchuk4071111113
Y. Kolos10
LSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133LSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162
V. Kovalchuk10
LSep 13 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk1.837860M. Khomenko1.83111193LSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113LSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113LSep 13 · 24:30Y. Tebenko2.20261111113V. Kovalchuk1.6111115872LSep 12 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.5061180O. Rodin1.501113113LSep 12 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.91111186113V. Kovalchuk1.8056111162WSep 12 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk2.5091111113R. Novak1.50117991LAug 24 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk1.9112116101Y. Vorsuliak1.8014711123LAug 24 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.571111113V. Kovalchuk2.258570LAug 24 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.259380O. Rodin1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.