TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122212
Played Sep 13Finished
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71181169––––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Kovalchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladyslav Kovalchuk above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-9
Point 52 set 3, 6-9 — our read held Vladyslav Kovalchuk at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Kovalchuk 27–27 Maksym Khomenko Dead even across their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:05What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-27 in 54
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalchuk 1518 vs Khomenko 1716
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalchuk 0% vs Khomenko 100%
Khomenko
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalchuk 10% vs Khomenko 70%
Khomenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalchuk -5 · Khomenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 1.83 / Khomenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khomenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122212
Kovalchuk1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Khomenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk4wins
AwayKhomenko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk33.3%2 of 6
AwayKhomenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk6Khomenko4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S2Kovalchuk3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S3Kovalchuk8Khomenko2n = 10Kovalchuk took 8 of 10
S4Kovalchuk2Khomenko6n = 8Khomenko took 6 of 8
S5Kovalchuk2Khomenko4n = 6Khomenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukKhomenkoKovalchuk − KhomenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.9−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 784 vs 468 / 85247.6%54.9%373 / 784 vs 468 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKovalchuk 1.83/Khomenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 22:30V. Kovalchuk3956111162M. Khomenko47111186113
LAug 24 · 07:05V. Kovalchuk2164110M. Khomenko351111133
LAug 23 · 13:35V. Kovalchuk44118121032M. Khomenko506111012113
WAug 22 · 22:30V. Kovalchuk351111133M. Khomenko2696110
WAug 17 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk48811117113M. Khomenko3511171152
LAug 16 · 24:30V. Kovalchuk3311102101M. Khomenko4491211123
LAug 10 · 07:05V. Kovalchuk3311211452M. Khomenko44611511113
WAug 9 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk46911114113M. Khomenko3911581142
WAug 2 · 02:00V. Kovalchuk3711411113M. Khomenko30711661
LJul 12 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk531151110162M. Khomenko49411412183
V. Kovalchuk10
LSep 13 · 14:35Y. Kolos1.83913814123V. Kovalchuk1.8311111112102LSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113LSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113LSep 13 · 24:30Y. Tebenko2.20261111113V. Kovalchuk1.6111115872LSep 12 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.5061180O. Rodin1.501113113LSep 12 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.91111186113V. Kovalchuk1.8056111162WSep 12 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk2.5091111113R. Novak1.50117991LAug 24 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk1.9112116101Y. Vorsuliak1.8014711123LAug 24 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.571111113V. Kovalchuk2.258570LAug 24 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.259380O. Rodin1.571111113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 13 · 13:35R. Novak1.8091111882M. Khomenko1.91116711113WSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133WSep 13 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.503490M. Khomenko1.501111113WSep 13 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.001111113R. Novak1.739570WSep 13 · 24:00M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Parahailo3.505760WSep 12 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.91111186113V. Kovalchuk1.8056111162LSep 12 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.7351111962O. Rodin2.00119411113WSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.