TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122112
Played Sep 13Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113910––––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:54 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-10
Point 61 set 3, 9-10 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 76.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 12–64 Maksym Khomenko Yurii Parahailo has won 12 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-64 in 76
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 52 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1569 vs Khomenko 1723
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 40% vs Khomenko 100%
Khomenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 50% vs Khomenko 90%
Khomenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo -3 · Khomenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 3.75 / Khomenko 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Khomenko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13122112
Parahailo3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 66 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Khomenko1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite66% won 73 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it100% 43 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it87% 52 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo1wins
AwayKhomenko9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo0%0 of 3
AwayKhomenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Parahailo1Khomenko9n = 10Khomenko took 9 of 10
S3Parahailo0Khomenko10n = 10Khomenko took 10 of 10
S4Parahailo1Khomenko3n = 4Khomenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoKhomenkoP − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match26.536.6−10.1per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 811 vs 468 / 85150.1%55%406 / 811 vs 468 / 851Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoParahailo 3.75/Khomenko 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 12:35Y. Parahailo381198101M. Khomenko3951111123
LAug 29 · 22:30Y. Parahailo26116541M. Khomenko4291111113
LAug 24 · 10:35Y. Parahailo197660M. Khomenko331111113
LAug 23 · 12:05Y. Parahailo185670M. Khomenko331111113
WAug 23 · 02:00Y. Parahailo43211811113M. Khomenko3811711362
LJul 26 · 02:00Y. Parahailo226880M. Khomenko331111113
LJul 18 · 22:30Y. Parahailo3216970M. Khomenko401811113
LJun 1 · 05:05Y. Parahailo32117681M. Khomenko4291111113
LMay 31 · 16:05Y. Parahailo208660M. Khomenko331111113
LMay 31 · 24:00Y. Parahailo157350M. Khomenko331111113
Y. Parahailo10
LSep 13 · 17:05Y. Kolos1.361111113Y. Parahailo3.006870LSep 13 · 15:05R. Novak1.831461110113Y. Parahailo1.83121191292LSep 13 · 14:05Y. Parahailo2.388980O. Rodin1.531111113WSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113WSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113WSep 13 · 01:30O. Rodin1.5096111142Y. Parahailo2.50111143113LSep 13 · 24:00M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Parahailo3.505760WSep 12 · 22:00R. Novak1.8061110101Y. Parahailo1.9111512123LSep 12 · 20:00Y. Tebenko1.831111113Y. Parahailo1.837470WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840
M. Khomenko10
WSep 13 · 17:35M. Khomenko1.8311118102O. Rodin1.836411101WSep 13 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk1.837860M. Khomenko1.83111193WSep 13 · 13:35R. Novak1.8091111882M. Khomenko1.91116711113WSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133WSep 13 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.503490M. Khomenko1.501111113WSep 13 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.001111113R. Novak1.739570WSep 13 · 24:00M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Parahailo3.505760WSep 12 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.91111186113V. Kovalchuk1.8056111162LSep 12 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.7351111962O. Rodin2.00119411113LAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840
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