TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155659
Played Sep 20Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115311811911––
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Shchegelskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Shchegelskyi at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 20–53 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Maksym Khomenko has won 20 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shchegelskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-53 in 73
Shchegelskyi
Correct
gap of 33 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1646 vs Shchegelskyi 1542
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 20% vs Shchegelskyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 30% vs Shchegelskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko -1 · Shchegelskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shchegelskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 2.10 / Shchegelskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shchegelskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13155659
Khomenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 67 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back30% 30 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 65
Shchegelskyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 88 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it73% 56 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko3wins
AwayShchegelskyi7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderShchegelskyi leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko25%1 of 4
AwayShchegelskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khomenko5Shchegelskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Khomenko4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S4Khomenko4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S5Khomenko2Shchegelskyi4n = 6Shchegelskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoShchegelskyiK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.246.4−3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 841 vs 473 / 91454.9%51.8%462 / 841 vs 473 / 914Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShchegelskyiKhomenko 2.10/Shchegelskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shchegelskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko4551191192D. Shchegelskyi40114113113
LSep 7 · 08:05M. Khomenko4815115982D. Shchegelskyi541381111113
WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko49911711113D. Shchegelskyi3711611542
LAug 2 · 17:05M. Khomenko50111612111D. Shchegelskyi54131810133
LAug 2 · 01:00M. Khomenko31116681D. Shchegelskyi4291111113
LJul 25 · 22:30M. Khomenko4011211792D. Shchegelskyi47711711113
LJul 19 · 01:00M. Khomenko33791341D. Shchegelskyi44111111113
WJul 12 · 17:05M. Khomenko521110911113D. Shchegelskyi5091211992
LJul 12 · 24:00M. Khomenko4181111742D. Shchegelskyi50119811113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 20 · 01:00M. Khomenko1.83971311113R. Novak1.83111111782LSep 19 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.7371180V. Kovalchuk2.001113113WSep 19 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.251111113Y. Parahailo3.759780LSep 18 · 11:35M. Khomenko1.911156101V. Slozka1.8081111123LSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670LSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111WSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281WSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121LSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 19 · 22:00R. Novak2.101211971D. Shchegelskyi1.6714111113LSep 19 · 20:00Y. Tebenko2.10118611113D. Shchegelskyi1.6781111942LSep 18 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2558110Y. Vorsuliak1.571111133LSep 18 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.441111113D. Shchegelskyi2.639850LSep 18 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi3.251241041V. Slozka1.33101112113LSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281LSep 17 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.0012106101V. Slozka1.36101211123WSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113WSep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20121211113Y. Vorsuliak1.611410371
Upcoming Matches
M. Khomenko
D. Shchegelskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.